Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x255bd44ab944b139b8bba5881b1e47ae80cd5922ec31ecb498e388885f56f35e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $624,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $627,046

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Over	30c	90,844$27,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,337.91	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under	70c	90,015$63,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,004.37	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	73c	80,902$58,756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,145.5	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over	30c	21,259$6,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,456.17	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	31c	11,893$3,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,635.47	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	216	31%67 W · 149 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under	70c	9,700$6,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,884	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	15c	9,128$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.74	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over	24c	8,432$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050.35	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	70c	8,000$5,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	22c	7,405$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,634.08	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	15c	7,082$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,065.47	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under	69c	6,000$4,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,860	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over	31c	6,000$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,879.99	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under	70c	6,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,799.97	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under	77c	5,927$4,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,372.04	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under	75c	5,505$4,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,399.69	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over	32c	5,347$1,711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711.18	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Over	29c	5,000$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,450	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	32c	5,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Over	13c	4,999$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.85	138	11.6%16 W · 122 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	31c	4,811$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.99	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over	22c	4,459$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over	31c	4,386$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.66	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under	70c	4,370$3,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.32	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	70c	4,137$2,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,252.98	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	70c	3,834$2,672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.93	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	31c	3,812$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.42	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Over	8c	3,551$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.51	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over	28c	3,500$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed Under	69c	3,400$2,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054	28	50%14 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under	69c	3,364$2,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.14	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-9.7wins	-0.17per pick	57cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Over	30c	3,333$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	70c	3,200$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	378	50.5%191 W · 187 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under	70c	3,200$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	15c	3,126$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.41	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	30c	3,099$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.59	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	32c	3,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacea…8b97backed Over	31c	2,800$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	151	47%71 W · 80 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	70c	2,800$1,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$840	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a8…5604backed Over	33c	2,716$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	30c	2,667$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under	69c	2,514$1,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.34	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under	70c	2,503$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$759.68	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under	69c	2,500$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.97	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under	72c	2,458$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.78	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	71c	2,412$1,716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.79	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	30c	2,405$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.87	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	70c	2,400$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under	70c	2,359$1,658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.61	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645f…2c7fbacked Over	30c	2,334$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.2	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	1c	2,255$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	19c	2,222$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.32	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	69c	2,145$1,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655.08	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under	75c	2,127$1,585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.03	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+10.8wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	28c	2,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over	5c	1,930$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.77	349	24.4%85 W · 264 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	31c	1,812$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.59	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Over	29c	1,736$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.48	144	33.3%48 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3a…9f9abacked Over	31c	1,721$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	29c	1,692$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.63	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over	30c	1,667$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	1c	1,644$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under	70c	1,613$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$491.59	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over	32c	1,513$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	280	25%70 W · 210 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under	69c	1,500$1,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.99	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Under	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.54	116	41.4%48 W · 68 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over	30c	1,404$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.31	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Over	4c	1,340$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.25	163	25.8%42 W · 121 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	30c	1,318$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.3	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over	31c	1,251$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.83	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fd2…93ddbacked Over	33c	1,210$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.3	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over	33c	1,200$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	130	46.9%61 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	70c	1,200$840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	390	50.8%198 W · 192 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	30c	1,077$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.1	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	70c	1,076$753 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$323.27	848	44.3%376 W · 472 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a92…dc69backed Over	31c	1,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Over	30c	999.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	224	37.1%83 W · 141 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over	29c	994.54$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.42	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Over	31c	967.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	235	13.2%31 W · 204 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+52%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Over	31c	967.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Over	31c	960.81$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.85	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Over	23c	944.18$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.16	137	27%37 W · 100 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under	69c	942.02$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.03	145	64.1%93 W · 52 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	69c	928.4$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.88	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	77c	927.48$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.23	199	46.7%93 W · 106 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Over	29c	862.07$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under	70c	857.11$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.13	150	48%72 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c8…84a0backed Over	31c	839.96$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.39	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	69c	829.79$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.37	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	353	52.7%186 W · 167 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under	74c	800$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	220	29.5%65 W · 155 L	+10.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-14%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	352	51.7%182 W · 170 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	408	48.8%199 W · 209 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	70c	800$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	399	51.4%205 W · 194 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5this page
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event