TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$230,120
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,120 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over13c50,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c47,349$32,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,735.614,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c42,295$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under68c14,224$9,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,546.2215844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over1c4,545$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4522933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under45c4,502$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.3836235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over68c4,100$2,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7881,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under32c3,063$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.520053%106 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over55c3,000$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under46c2,775$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.6837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under78c2,038$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under43c2,028$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.5129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over68c1,841$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over9c1,704$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9838819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over68c1,470$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over21c1,465$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.212,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c1,372$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.084,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under45c1,317$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.6216050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under78c1,164$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.6287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over44c1,043$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.132,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.6423440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2952…4e7ebacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002528%7 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over2c954.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0942126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under60c941.63$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5225942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017149.7%85 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over21c759.47$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over70c714.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under31c694.19$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.961,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under61c688.16$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9625049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e32…ac88backed Over68c656.27$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.187951.9%41 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Under32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42532739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f1d…d2afbacked Over25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under46c439.7$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2119649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under51c435.29$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4495…e6d7backed Over60c425.1$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.067057.1%40 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c398.3$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d3…4d37backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over57c376.83$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.381,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Over11c360.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9414526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over12c353.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.431,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Over13c330.27$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9434122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over26c323.15$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.022835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Under78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.519060%54 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6334…6fa3backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid+58.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26bd…e53bbacked Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1988356.6%47 W · 36 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c299.17$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…c1febacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005238.5%20 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Over7c285.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over69c260.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18016946.7%79 W · 90 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecd9…ebc3backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13014638.4%56 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c247.68$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.722,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under72c199.87$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over18c199.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over68c183.81$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9933438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under30c174.29$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12b…6570backed Over69c173.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under30c171.67$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.677852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over43c150.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.642,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over61c147.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010728%30 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0531…aa5abacked Over70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005949.2%29 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c142.03$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.752,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023951.9%124 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b0…7db2backed Under75c133.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8310451.9%54 W · 50 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Under46c126.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5421146.9%99 W · 112 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under46c126.05$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5417042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Under46c125.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.219348.4%45 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Under56c124.14$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over36c120$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.92,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over26c120$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under29c114$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.563,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under34c107.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.423,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over75c106$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.522560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Over58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5812249.2%60 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe689…0418backed Over21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over57c99.79$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.112,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over28c98.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.619339.9%77 W · 116 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c96.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over12c96.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9135719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Over54c92.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508058.8%47 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under55c81.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under30c80.79$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.943,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3250450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under74c79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…4a2cbacked Under32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1319144.5%85 W · 106 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x062c…24d5backed Over31c77.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.948846.6%41 W · 47 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfc…ab38backed Over52c72.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.539644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over28c71.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1332740.7%133 W · 194 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under78c71.8$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.914238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over28c70.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7429639.9%118 W · 178 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.322153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over70c67.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.484725.5%12 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.