Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x880910e79b7af9f4a5a2ba3c9f7492bced0993228e289097bdeef1d4b4c10d8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…6586backed Under | 54c | 5,181$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Over | 45c | 1,936$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 32c | 1,511$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.48 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Over | 73c | 1,247$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 45c | 882.79$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.79 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 53c | 771.21$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.9 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 2c | 683$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 641.29$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 46c | 545.06$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Under | 52c | 534.62$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 58c | 502.01$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.46 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 50c | 477.46$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.73 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 215.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 45c | 185.18$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…4e2dbacked Over | 45c | 135.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…d461backed Under | 55c | 114.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 114.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 113.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 57c | 78.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 41c | 77.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Over | 45c | 71.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3a…00d4backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Under | 54c | 39.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 40c | 35.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 34.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 30.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 62c | 26.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 61c | 25.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Over | 45c | 25.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 49c | 24.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…dac2backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Under | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 6.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 7.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-3.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Japan (-4.5)Sweden won
- Spread: Sweden (-1.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-2.5)Japan won
- Spread: Sweden (-3.5)Japan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.