MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631468ef6761c9e61318029ac63d03490be83e29969ed5b111fa3124966ec22b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Japanof Japan, Australia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $664,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $664,030 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Australia | 3c | 268,412$8,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,212 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Australia | 1c | 48,325$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.86 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Australia | 8c | 35,372$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.55 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Australia | 0c | 27,227$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Australia | 0c | 18,376$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Australia | 9c | 13,722$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.01 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b5…cab4backed Australia | 0c | 10,858$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Australia | 5c | 8,597$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Australia | 30c | 8,232$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.54 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Australia | 0c | 7,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…1d4cbacked Australia | 0c | 5,094$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Australia | 1c | 4,688$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Australia | 6c | 4,506$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Australia | 5c | 4,307$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…d2afbacked Australia | 6c | 3,717$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…ab57backed Australia | 16c | 3,352$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 36cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…02a3backed Australia | 0c | 3,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Australia | 6c | 2,977$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Japan | 67c | 2,949$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.18 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +59%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…21a0backed Japan | 70c | 2,866$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f9…3337backed Australia | 0c | 2,670$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Australia | 6c | 2,263$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Australia | 5c | 2,173$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1795…46efbacked Australia | 8c | 1,973$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Australia | 15c | 1,605$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Australia | 4c | 1,600$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Japan | 70c | 1,446$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.45 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…0dc3backed Australia | 2c | 1,360$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Australia | 8c | 1,333$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4464…95d4backed Australia | 3c | 1,300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…7e70backed Australia | 1c | 1,197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Japan | 70c | 1,183$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.27 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Australia | 5c | 1,166$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +201%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…4ff3backed Australia | 1c | 1,157$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…2757backed Australia | 1c | 1,085$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Australia | 4c | 1,044$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…402cbacked Australia | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Australia | 6c | 999.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc13…ff2cbacked Australia | 10c | 994.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Australia | 2c | 961.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Australia | 3c | 923.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed Australia | 3c | 888.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Australia | 5c | 873.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Japan | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…c111backed Australia | 5c | 675$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +285.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4f59backed Japan | 80c | 640.35$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…50a9backed Japan | 70c | 573.3$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Australia | 6c | 549.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Australia | 9c | 538.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…9fd8backed Japan | 65c | 536.58$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Japan | 70c | 536$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Australia | 6c | 523.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Australia | 22c | 522.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Australia | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Australia | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2358…8986backed Japan | 79c | 464.29$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Australia | 26c | 463.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Australia | 5c | 449.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Australia | 4c | 444.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…f4bbbacked Australia | 7c | 442.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…9d17backed Australia | 3c | 438.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…b219backed Japan | 70c | 429.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Australia | 10c | 422.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…5a83backed Japan | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Japan | 70c | 386$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…e247backed Australia | 6c | 374.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…8fb7backed Japan | 70c | 371.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768c…6b93backed Australia | 5c | 365$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Australia | 10c | 349.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Australia | 8c | 325$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…3b44backed Australia | 20c | 320.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked Australia | 32c | 309.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Australia | 5c | 308.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…a559backed Japan | 74c | 304.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5356…8429backed Australia | 6c | 299.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…fd6ebacked Australia | 5c | 291.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Australia | 4c | 262.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Australia | 12c | 257.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…0483backed Australia | 33c | 256.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Australia | 4c | 250.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…2126backed Australia | 30c | 249.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Australia | 12c | 230.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Japan | 70c | 215.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Australia | 5c | 214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Australia | 32c | 206.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Australia | 34c | 205.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Japan | 69c | 202$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked Japan | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…f5efbacked Australia | 6c | 196.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…222abacked Australia | 6c | 195.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ad…85f7backed Australia | 8c | 177.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…b411backed Japan | 80c | 176.64$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…1960backed Japan | 70c | 172.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Australia | 17c | 172.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Japan | 66c | 163.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8039…14c4backed Japan | 66c | 150.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9b…5f5abacked Australia | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Australia | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…3d96backed Japan | 76c | 145.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…0dcebacked Australia | 11c | 140$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.