TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x32d2…2126

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$58.66
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$169.94
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
1H Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+88.8%+$103.53
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.27
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+86.2%+$129.33
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+70.5%+$84.64
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+233.3%+$116.67
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$200
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.4%+$129.33
1H Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100.8%+$201.6
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$94.36
Clippers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$221.86
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$307.39
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+37%+$36.99
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$141.18
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$322.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+33.5%+$33.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$73.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.