NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d6415eabd55809620734ca6a66b31f8a7fdfac004005a25f4f4ac090ef26963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Cavaliers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,961,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,055,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,961,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 773 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cavaliers | 60c | 295,139$175,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175,665.96 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Celtics | 38c | 120,417$46,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,260.41 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Cavaliers | 20c | 100,000$19,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,951.01 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Celtics | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,999.92 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Celtics | 69c | 94,222$64,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,585.25 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Celtics | 40c | 85,890$34,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,542.84 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Cavaliers | 60c | 68,834$41,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,140.48 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 65,229$30,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,082.3 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…12f6backed Cavaliers | 60c | 63,043$37,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,826.09 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Celtics | 46c | 59,327$27,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,250.57 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Celtics | 40c | 47,474$19,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,447.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Celtics | 41c | 46,614$18,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,626.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 42c | 41,562$17,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,037.36 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Cavaliers | 61c | 40,000$24,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,400 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Cavaliers | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Cavaliers | 56c | 39,013$21,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,983.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Cavaliers | 56c | 37,349$21,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,006.76 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 40c | 35,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000.01 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,700 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Cavaliers | 62c | 29,770$18,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,457.23 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Celtics | 52c | 27,770$14,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,413.13 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics | 42c | 23,738$10,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,665.86 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cavaliers | 16c | 23,621$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.3 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Celtics | 76c | 22,589$17,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.43 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Celtics | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers | 60c | 20,000$12,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,040 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 20,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Celtics | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.86 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Celtics | 40c | 20,000$7,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,066.47 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Celtics | 40c | 17,600$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,560 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Celtics | 40c | 17,500$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Celtics | 42c | 15,870$6,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,226.26 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 41c | 14,880$6,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,738.85 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Celtics | 40c | 14,815$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.1 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 76c | 14,777$11,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Celtics | 41c | 14,018$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Celtics | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.97 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Celtics | 42c | 11,764$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.55 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Celtics | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.16 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 10,806$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Celtics | 45c | 10,804$4,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,942.44 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics | 37c | 10,465$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.79 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Cavaliers | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Celtics | 39c | 9,000$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,490 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Celtics | 43c | 8,420$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,782.97 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Cavaliers | 62c | 8,065$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Celtics | 40c | 7,850$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Celtics | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Celtics | 40c | 7,085$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 35c | 6,990$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.3 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…8a3dbacked Cavaliers | 55c | 6,671$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Cavaliers | 44c | 6,048$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.13 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Celtics | 79c | 6,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,990$3,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,234.6 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…8d9bbacked Celtics | 38c | 5,800$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Cavaliers | 61c | 5,492$3,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.79 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 61c | 5,228$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.98 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Celtics | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics | 42c | 4,771$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.04 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 4,688$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,813 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Celtics | 42c | 4,506$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.77 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Cavaliers | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Cavaliers | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Celtics | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Celtics | 46c | 3,857$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.27 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Cavaliers | 60c | 3,806$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.14 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Cavaliers | 41c | 3,639$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…aac4backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Celtics | 41c | 3,472$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.55 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cavaliers | 21c | 3,400$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.98 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…0de7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 3,250$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Celtics | 41c | 3,250$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.5 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,247$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.12 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…179bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 3,205$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.14 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Cavaliers | 37c | 3,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Cavaliers | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Cavaliers | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cavaliers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Cavaliers | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 2,999$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.69 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Celtics | 41c | 2,788$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.77 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Celtics | 44c | 2,700$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,650$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.97 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +173%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Cavaliers | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Cavaliers | 60c | 2,490$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.98 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Celtics | 37c | 2,450$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.39 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 20c | 2,377$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71c…67f4backed Cavaliers | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,230$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Celtics | 41c | 2,223$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Celtics | 38c | 2,222$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.64 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Celticsthis page
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Celtics: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.