TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,748,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,841,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,748,841 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,771 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5350…2fdabacked Lakers43c181,852$78,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,761.2412147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Pistons57c152,145$86,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,722.227941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons56c151,537$84,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,808.8887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffa5…0c23backed Lakers45c118,269$52,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,667.52966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Pistons56c117,252$65,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,590.987745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Lakers46c109,425$49,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,990.59641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Lakers18c97,859$17,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,659.291,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Lakers45c92,467$41,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,317.2813455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Lakers44c71,858$31,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,617.524650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Lakers49c68,204$33,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,326.9816846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons55c64,000$35,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,80048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Lakers18c60,279$10,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,838.011,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Pistons57c56,781$32,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,272.6820352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons59c55,148$32,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,609.775,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Lakers44c48,570$21,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,364.632,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Pistons57c47,579$26,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,659.1115841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Lakers44c47,567$20,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,929.4823245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons57c40,000$22,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,20051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Lakers44c36,100$15,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,88421450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Pistons57c36,100$20,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,52317861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers43c33,161$14,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,259.351,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Pistons60c30,028$17,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.042352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Pistons58c28,429$16,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,842.9444654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pistons55c28,106$15,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,647.78961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Lakers43c24,999$10,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,849.7214244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons67c24,557$16,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,060.973,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons61c22,881$14,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Pistons58c22,688$13,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,479.83262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.2wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Lakers43c20,069$8,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,629.6715247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pistons56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,80019150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Lakers44c20,000$8,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,80020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Lakers45c19,500$8,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,724.9451844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons68c18,868$12,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.653,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons56c18,725$10,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,257.774,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac56…22edbacked Lakers0c18,080$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pistons56c17,500$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,7001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Lakers27c16,896$4,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,561.229424.5%23 W · 71 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons52c15,789$8,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,575.591,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Lakers40c15,335$6,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,133.8837539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lakers43c15,036$6,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,465.461,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pistons53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,05026753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Pistons56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,60018045%81 W · 99 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…1a5dbacked Lakers45c15,000$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,749.973636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Pistons55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,749.946767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Pistons56c14,807$8,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,515.1415547.1%73 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Lakers44c13,636$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons55c13,600$7,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,065.3872450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Lakers23c13,161$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons57c13,134$7,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,588.391,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Lakers43c12,311$5,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,32221944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Pistons55c11,511$6,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,179.8152460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers33c10,746$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,541.7925925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Lakers44c10,063$4,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,427.8147542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Pistons56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40019048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Lakers36c9,924$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60016130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Pistons61c9,835$5,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,865.4710945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Lakers45c9,731$4,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,370.0127247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Lakers16c9,670$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.352524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Lakers34c8,993$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.319136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Pistons57c8,693$4,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.987149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Pistons59c8,527$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,504.0989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Lakers43c8,500$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.782055%11 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3591…f10dbacked Lakers32c8,439$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.6240%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Pistons63c8,429$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,118.8718518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Lakers43c8,315$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.64,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Pistons56c8,209$4,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.7622449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Pistons56c8,197$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,606.723342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers45c8,041$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.842,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Pistons57c7,967$4,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,425.921662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers38c7,533$2,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,876.785742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51f…9070backed Pistons62c7,483$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Lakers38c7,290$2,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.389849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Pistons68c7,090$4,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.6424048.3%116 W · 124 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Lakers0c7,018$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.398820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6146…3f29backed Pistons56c6,839$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,009.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Pistons55c6,636$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.3626544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Lakers44c6,254$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Pistons55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Pistons55c6,000$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7305455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Lakers44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.8616339.3%64 W · 99 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x512e…4f1bbacked Pistons57c5,989$3,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.357030%21 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Pistons55c5,599$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.758348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons56c5,520$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,428.847751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Lakers37c5,279$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.1811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Pistons66c5,274$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.0117441.4%72 W · 102 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Lakers1c5,149$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.491088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pistons74c5,016$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30481529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Lakers46c5,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Pistons54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.9913249.2%65 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Pistons56c4,890$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.571,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa368…edecbacked Pistons67c4,867$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Pistons57c4,847$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.3715855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Pistons67c4,840$3,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.764757.4%27 W · 20 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Pistons62c4,686$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.124752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lakers28c4,634$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.6161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Pistons56c4,500$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,98012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b3b…a84abacked Pistons63c4,500$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6802462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons63c4,473$2,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.1873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons57c4,386$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,885.9676746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Pistons56c4,375$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.061471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.