NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b03f9cef579c0080fd934abcb2ffb08a46faad11181d0136c1dc72b82fb4ba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Over | 49c | 16,295$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,295.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 6,434$3,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 4,844$2,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.88 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…686cbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…ed6cbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c5…5c0dbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1d…1e31backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…c6b7backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…ce21backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…00f6backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…2353backed Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…265bbacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…fd93backed Under | 51c | 3,980$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…9bd5backed Over | 49c | 3,980$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,480$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 49c | 2,906$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.03 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 2,023$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,791$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,304$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…01babacked Under | 51c | 838.24$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 49c | 818.27$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.32 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 799.99$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.99 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Under | 49c | 270$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…ef6abacked Over | 48c | 203.85$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 47c | 167.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 53c | 136.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Over | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Over | 49c | 135$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…2767backed Under | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…5c02backed Under | 39c | 98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over | 49c | 88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Under | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…054ebacked Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Under | 52c | 83.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Over | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 59c | 68.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Under | 52c | 48.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 53c | 36.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Under | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Under | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Under | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.