NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ba80748a6c4df4c0249a4b6e20541c7c2f36e4950db38c830778da0983f4d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 50c | 115,000$57,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,500 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Lakers | 50c | 100,042$50,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,020.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 49c | 87,506$43,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,278.1 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons | 50c | 46,427$23,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,213.34 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 51c | 23,613$12,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,577.06 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Lakers | 50c | 23,054$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,527.16 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…4775backed Pistons | 51c | 18,606$9,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,116.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Pistons | 50c | 11,080$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.02 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 51c | 5,980$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930.39 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Lakers | 50c | 5,928$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.96 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 50c | 4,879$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Lakers | 50c | 4,280$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,204$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Lakers | 49c | 4,036$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.64 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Lakers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Lakers | 50c | 3,600$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Pistons | 58c | 3,140$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pistons | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers | 51c | 2,928$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.77 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 46c | 2,689$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.02 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Lakers | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 50c | 2,028$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Lakers | 50c | 1,989$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 49c | 1,900$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Pistons | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Lakers | 51c | 1,710$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.1 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lakers | 44c | 1,654$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Pistons | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers | 49c | 1,454$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.57 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 53c | 1,425$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.69 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Pistons | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lakers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…0262backed Pistons | 50c | 1,144$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…540abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,051$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.98 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Lakers | 50c | 858$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Pistons | 51c | 774.24$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.38 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Lakers | 56c | 716.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 71c | 706.76$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Lakers | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 49c | 690.69$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.47 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Lakers | 49c | 612.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.36 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Pistons | 51c | 592.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…e2c5backed Lakers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Pistons | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Pistons | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Lakers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4610…0eb3backed Lakers | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Pistons | 49c | 499.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Lakers | 50c | 473.07$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.61 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Pistons | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb900…c4c7backed Pistons | 51c | 452.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Pistons | 50c | 439.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…a470backed Lakers | 51c | 431.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 50c | 407.89$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.95 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Lakers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Pistons | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Lakers | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lakers | 33c | 313.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Pistons | 52c | 312.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.76 | 158 | 57%90 W · 68 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 50c | 295.32$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5093…dee4backed Pistons | 51c | 294$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.06 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pistons | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Lakers | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Lakers | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Lakers | 50c | 201.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…755ebacked Lakers | 50c | 200.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…c5eebacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…7e2dbacked Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Lakers | 49c | 198.04$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…878fbacked Lakers | 51c | 197.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb938…f398backed Lakers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Lakers | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc81…e9f2backed Lakers | 51c | 187.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Lakers | 28c | 179.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Lakers | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Pistons | 51c | 160.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Lakers | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Lakers | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Lakers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…dbf6backed Lakers | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Lakers | 42c | 121.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked Pistons | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Lakers | 42c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pistons | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Lakers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Pistons | 50c | 116$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pistons | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Pistons | 51c | 104.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Lakers | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Pistons | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Lakers | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Lakers | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.