TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9d30…2645backed Under50c295$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.57448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over48c275$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.1610143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Over48c219$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.888644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Over48c190$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.85058%29 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Over53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.687550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under50c126$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Over48c121$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.928749.4%43 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Over49c92$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.926446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Over48c89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.283342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed Over47c88$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.643259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Over48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.164358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Under51c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.234245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4889…9b17backed Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under51c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.155345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98cd…9417backed Over48c65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.84658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Over48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.285650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Over47c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.865750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Under50c59.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013050.8%66 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Over48c58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.168050%40 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f57…6d41backed Under52c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.643151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Over49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.548752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda6e…e417backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Under49c49.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4918549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…6070backed Under52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.483764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5c…1f57backed Under53c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.323154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Under52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.834161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaac…1045backed Under52c48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.965448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Over48c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.447247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b40…93f4backed Under52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.923658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Under52c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921520%3 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over50c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf447…3fe7backed Under53c46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.382343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb736…1946backed Under52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.886048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under49c43.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Under53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.582751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebc…bb17backed Under52c41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.323458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e85…d253backed Under53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e8e…1ef0backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229954.5%54 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Under52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.283256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Under52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.285048%24 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Over50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.53545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.244360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Under52c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.244660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed Over49c37$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.873865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Under52c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Under52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa46…1559backed Under52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24165.9%27 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Over49c35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.853956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51bd…bc56backed Under52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.683652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3341556.9%236 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over50c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Over47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.94645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over50c29.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9693849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Under53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.373650%18 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…6bb5backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Under53c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00f6…c5d2backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.672157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Under52c28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.562958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0f…7ca5backed Under52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.043850%19 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6098…d746backed Under51c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.772814.3%4 W · 24 L-9.8wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-72.9%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xc0c0…07d8backed Over48c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.524553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f71…b80ebacked Under70c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.51942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d49…c438backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132832.1%9 W · 19 L-6.0wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-42.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x888b…8f3fbacked Under52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.082142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.323860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Under51c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Over50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.443565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9db…ab38backed Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe91…4462backed Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f5f…99d3backed Under52c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.442334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Over50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.53447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7773…f936backed Under52c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921723.5%4 W · 13 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick54cpaid-57.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd1bd…0da6backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.