TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf17b…d0a7backed Under50c15,600$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3700…3c06backed Over50c14,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c3,120$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.771,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under27c2,349$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.271,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c2,307$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0352…3292backed Over51c1,773$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.5410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over58c1,680$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.683,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85c…54b5backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over54c1,389$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.8965339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de5…c157backed Under12c1,359$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.751020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+142.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under37c1,322$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8650347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over50c1,138$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56929652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2885…486cbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48048957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c898.57$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.344,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c508.59$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.292,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under8c375$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033730.3%102 W · 235 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Under9c304.7$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.081,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under33c274.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.638,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under29c253.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.483,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c2…629fbacked Under14c145$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.853342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under46c136$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.566855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under50c128.03$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.021,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under46c128$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8810143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under48c122$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.568450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…b4dbbacked Over54c119$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Under45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.756349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked Under47c110.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.033360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c109.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.333366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under45c109$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.058852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under45c102$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.98759.8%52 W · 35 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x619e…f583backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over53c88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.363,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under47c74.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5788845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.072,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under46c65.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0793849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…33a3backed Under47c62$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Over57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8327…1043backed Under47c56.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5518256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Over56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5719849%97 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Under48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.112766.9%85 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Under46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.082661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over51c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.052,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd6…d4dfbacked Over52c43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.642766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under47c40.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.892,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd448…f700backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Over55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec1…dd29backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2222556.9%128 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4618347.5%87 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Over54c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.482536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x597f…e9cfbacked Over55c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.852857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.183860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over52c32.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.831,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5931…08cbbacked Over55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.952846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9784…e452backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over52c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.42937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd104…0c60backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2756454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Over71c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8824955%137 W · 112 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b80…8e56backed Over52c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b3…0d89backed Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.72944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Over55c26$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.256157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Over55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.83171%22 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Over55c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.353050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e29…c992backed Over54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.125164.7%33 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Over52c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0d8…480bbacked Under46c21.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.048336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96845.6%31 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64d6…c02abacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.