NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39bcca201683952b20ab5942a4a5e3f8e464b2ff24b09e4fbf1f84aac980450d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Over | 51c | 4,942$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 3,690$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,580$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.96 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Over | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 843$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 815$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.35 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 814.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 533$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed Over | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 51c | 203$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 164.42$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.47 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…7025backed Under | 49c | 132.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…8929backed Under | 51c | 107$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Over | 51c | 97.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 53c | 95.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 49c | 83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 51c | 66.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 68c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 32c | 57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 50.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Under | 48c | 50.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Under | 49c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…af09backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 22.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.