NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc69e872ddc8e86189498e3089e4fadf197604f36082a6d40f3e7a55df6815404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons | 48c | 14,739$7,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,699.42 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Lakers | 52c | 8,756$4,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558.93 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 7,513$3,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,938.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…85e7backed Pistons | 47c | 6,058$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…43eabacked Lakers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…4b6abacked Pistons | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 56c | 4,293$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lakers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…b1e0backed Pistons | 54c | 3,406$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.99 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 55c | 2,694$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Lakers | 55c | 2,636$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.04 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 46c | 2,600$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Lakers | 46c | 2,514$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.86 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 46c | 2,122$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.89 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,893$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.29 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Lakers | 37c | 1,860$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.16 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Pistons | 47c | 1,653$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.19 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pistons | 47c | 1,632$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.96 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.9 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 48c | 1,410$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Pistons | 54c | 1,262$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.64 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Lakers | 44c | 1,095$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.65 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Lakers | 54c | 1,050$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 55c | 1,007$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.64 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Pistons | 53c | 950$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.48 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Pistons | 52c | 897.26$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.15 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Lakers | 53c | 895$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.35 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 48c | 875.37$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pistons | 69c | 743$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Pistons | 55c | 721.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Lakers | 53c | 708.73$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.49 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…d1dabacked Lakers | 50c | 707$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 45c | 687.65$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.51 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Lakers | 45c | 664.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Lakers | 55c | 638.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Lakers | 22c | 570$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…1ae6backed Lakers | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 195 | 31.3%61 W · 134 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 56c | 465.77$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Lakers | 42c | 409.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…0fa3backed Lakers | 39c | 401.7$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.51 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Lakers | 36c | 399.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2f…2fdcbacked Lakers | 54c | 385.96$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…3f06backed Lakers | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Lakers | 54c | 358.81$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Pistons | 46c | 351.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Pistons | 47c | 332$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.96 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Lakers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…26e5backed Lakers | 38c | 280.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lakers | 48c | 226.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.87 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Lakers | 49c | 215.59$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Pistons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…534ebacked Pistons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Lakers | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Lakers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 40.7%74 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lakers | 46c | 184.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 54c | 179.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lakers | 33c | 173.02$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Pistons | 52c | 170.31$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Pistons | 46c | 151$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.54 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Pistons | 50c | 147.34$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Pistons | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Pistons | 47c | 140.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.43 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc297…b0d2backed Lakers | 37c | 133.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…166fbacked Lakers | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Pistons | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Pistons | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Lakers | 30c | 124.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Pistons | 46c | 123.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Pistons | 46c | 107$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Pistons | 47c | 102.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lakers | 26c | 101.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…e997backed Lakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Lakers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…295fbacked Lakers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Lakers | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Lakers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons | 67c | 97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Lakers | 45c | 92.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Lakers | 54c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…ae07backed Pistons | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Lakers | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Lakers | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Lakers | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Lakers | 30c | 70.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Pistons | 46c | 68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…5c68backed Pistons | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 46c | 63.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Lakers | 35c | 58.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Pistons | 47c | 58.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Lakers | 48c | 55.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lakers | 43c | 54.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Pistons | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Pistons | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked Lakers | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Pistons | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Pistons | 60c | 41.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pistons | 55c | 41.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.