TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5993…33a2backed Lakers53c4,268$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.238046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons47c2,450$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,298.564,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Pistons55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.185261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Pistons46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Lakers51c209$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.598752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f9…5526backed Lakers51c194$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.947651.3%39 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Lakers55c181.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Pistons46c171$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.347361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Pistons46c166$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.648644.2%38 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Pistons46c142$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.685650%28 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Lakers53c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.736446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons45c135.55$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.555,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Pistons46c125$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.57162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Lakers53c122$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.669360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Lakers52c116.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5850648%243 W · 263 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Pistons46c107$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.788450%42 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons49c106.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7730454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Pistons50c100.74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Pistons46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.464953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Pistons46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.848151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lakers50c77.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.582,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Pistons48c73$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.936157.4%35 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdd0…4938backed Pistons46c71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.343458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9874…15d7backed Lakers54c71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…694ebacked Lakers54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Pistons46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.87753.2%41 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Lakers54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.183447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3be0…e4e5backed Lakers54c66$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.642751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e71…8913backed Pistons48c64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Pistons46c62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.489258.7%54 W · 38 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Pistons46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.943855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Pistons46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.867951.9%41 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd854…924fbacked Lakers53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37bb…c71fbacked Pistons46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.164146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed Pistons46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.164261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Lakers54c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.625056%28 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Pistons47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Pistons47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e48…c958backed Pistons47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e02…c5f2backed Lakers54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed Lakers54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x806c…3381backed Lakers54c49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Lakers54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Lakers54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.922544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Lakers54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.923043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Pistons46c48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.926454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Lakers54c48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.924148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Lakers54c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.5wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Pistons49c47$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.973450%17 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf572…065abacked Pistons46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.845750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Pistons49c45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.954161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Lakers54c44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.764151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf5…840ebacked Pistons49c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.422339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7399…fe96backed Lakers54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.142433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae28…5d17backed Pistons46c41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.143860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed Pistons49c39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.893545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cce…ebfebacked Lakers54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.063452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Lakers54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.063246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc86f…341dbacked Lakers54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.062937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Lakers54c39$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.064351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Lakers48c38.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4644654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45b8…3c28backed Pistons52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616944.4%75 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed Pistons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3620241.1%83 W · 119 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Lakers51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0068…d7b0backed Lakers54c36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.443234.4%11 W · 21 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Lakers50c35.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5518549.2%91 W · 94 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Lakers54c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.94643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52cc…9998backed Pistons49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…de52backed Pistons49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.832548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fba…dc55backed Lakers54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.282254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f20…eaf6backed Pistons48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.258543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Pistons46c31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.748852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Lakers54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Lakers54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.662157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Lakers54c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.663237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Lakers54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09db…7384backed Pistons49c27$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.773366.7%22 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9a7…261bbacked Lakers54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.044242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Pistons47c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.783956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Lakers54c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.042065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Lakers54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.964360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9942…5b7dbacked Pistons49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242536%9 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f25…1e6ebacked Lakers54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.961729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Lakers54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.963246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Lakers54c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.423650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf683…f2dfbacked Lakers54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.883056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6e…148bbacked Lakers54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.882944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Lakers54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe8…47f8backed Pistons49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712927.6%8 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-48.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Lakers54c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.342634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Lakers54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Lakers54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.