NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5249786e9b2ed5ed9438c9fda10ffca81dfb1b10a7cb28de187537b0dc17a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Lakers | 53c | 4,268$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.2 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 47c | 2,450$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Pistons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Pistons | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Lakers | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Lakers | 51c | 194$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.94 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Lakers | 55c | 181.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Pistons | 46c | 171$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.34 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Pistons | 46c | 166$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Pistons | 46c | 142$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Lakers | 53c | 141$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.73 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 45c | 135.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Pistons | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Lakers | 53c | 122$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Lakers | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Pistons | 46c | 107$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Pistons | 49c | 106.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Pistons | 50c | 100.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.74 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Pistons | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Pistons | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lakers | 50c | 77.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Pistons | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Pistons | 46c | 71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Lakers | 54c | 71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Lakers | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Pistons | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Lakers | 54c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Lakers | 54c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Pistons | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Pistons | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Pistons | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Pistons | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Lakers | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Pistons | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bea…6ce6backed Pistons | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Lakers | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Pistons | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Pistons | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Pistons | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e02…c5f2backed Lakers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed Lakers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…3381backed Lakers | 54c | 49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Lakers | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed Lakers | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Lakers | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Pistons | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Lakers | 54c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Lakers | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Pistons | 49c | 47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Pistons | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Pistons | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Lakers | 54c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Pistons | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Lakers | 54c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…5d17backed Pistons | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed Pistons | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Lakers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Lakers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Lakers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Lakers | 54c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Lakers | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Pistons | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Lakers | 51c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Lakers | 54c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Lakers | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Lakers | 54c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Pistons | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Pistons | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…dc55backed Lakers | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Pistons | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Pistons | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Lakers | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Lakers | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Lakers | 54c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Lakers | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Pistons | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Lakers | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…6e88backed Pistons | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Lakers | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Lakers | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Pistons | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Lakers | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Lakers | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Lakers | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Lakers | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked Lakers | 54c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…6febbacked Lakers | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Pistons | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Lakers | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Lakers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Lakers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)this page
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.