NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2138f20278508ab33db59b483d654b07744dac0573e0f64b7a3b6ad2c3c2b9d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 64c | 1,567$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.65 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Lakers | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Pistons | 69c | 392.23$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Lakers | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Lakers | 12c | 254.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Lakers | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 54c | 210.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Lakers | 46c | 210.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Lakers | 45c | 202$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Lakers | 45c | 194$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Lakers | 45c | 167$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…5d84backed Pistons | 61c | 154.28$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Lakers | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Lakers | 45c | 148$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Lakers | 45c | 145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Lakers | 27c | 133.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Lakers | 45c | 117$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Lakers | 45c | 116$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Lakers | 45c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…4a87backed Pistons | 65c | 78.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Lakers | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked Pistons | 55c | 71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…0bc0backed Pistons | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Pistons | 55c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Pistons | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Pistons | 55c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Lakers | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Lakers | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Pistons | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Lakers | 40c | 53.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Pistons | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Pistons | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Pistons | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Pistons | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Pistons | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Pistons | 55c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Pistons | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Pistons | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Pistons | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Pistons | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Pistons | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Pistons | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Pistons | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Pistons | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed Pistons | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Pistons | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Pistons | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Pistons | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Pistons | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Pistons | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Lakers | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Pistons | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Pistons | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Pistons | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Pistons | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Pistons | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Pistons | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Pistons | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Pistons | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Pistons | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce96…ff5cbacked Pistons | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Lakers | 44c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Pistons | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Pistons | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Pistons | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d7…e241backed Pistons | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Pistons | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Pistons | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. LakersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.