Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c127cebbbb6ca7e49c71dd1567d1061cbf912392332ddef2d6c3717c6eb83a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tienof Medvedev, Tien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $820,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $913,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $820,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Medvedev | 68c | 130,000$87,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,750.85 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Tien | 34c | 48,361$16,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,118.24 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Tien | 34c | 46,878$16,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,747.93 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Tien | 34c | 40,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.95 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Medvedev | 48c | 33,383$16,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,028.66 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Tien | 34c | 27,450$9,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,133.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Medvedev | 67c | 27,260$18,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,250.63 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tien | 57c | 26,392$15,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,231.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Medvedev | 66c | 22,979$15,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,217.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Medvedev | 66c | 21,655$14,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,206.7 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tien | 72c | 20,670$14,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,772.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Medvedev | 65c | 20,000$13,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,049.98 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Tien | 50c | 19,254$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.51 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Medvedev | 18c | 17,700$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.45 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Medvedev | 1c | 16,166$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Tien | 34c | 15,502$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254.63 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Medvedev | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Medvedev | 25c | 14,120$3,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.6 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Medvedev | 51c | 11,813$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Medvedev | 11c | 11,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Tien | 34c | 10,481$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,962.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tien | 32c | 10,016$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,810.81 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Medvedev | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Medvedev | 65c | 10,000$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Medvedev | 67c | 9,985$6,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,690 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Tien | 32c | 9,500$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,460 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Medvedev | 64c | 9,201$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.79 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Medvedev | 68c | 8,354$5,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,638.72 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Medvedev | 51c | 7,120$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tien | 34c | 6,838$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,513 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Tien | 33c | 6,800$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,555.99 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Tien | 34c | 6,482$2,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.98 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Tien | 34c | 6,300$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,129.93 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Medvedev | 66c | 6,124$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.07 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tien | 57c | 5,987$3,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Tien | 32c | 5,915$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Tien | 35c | 5,757$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.06 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Medvedev | 16c | 5,163$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Medvedev | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Tien | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Medvedev | 64c | 4,768$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.84 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tien | 76c | 4,722$3,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.15 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Medvedev | 64c | 4,668$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Medvedev | 50c | 4,646$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,311.35 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Medvedev | 5c | 4,611$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Tien | 33c | 4,242$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.42 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Tien | 36c | 4,232$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.19 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tien | 33c | 4,176$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.98 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tien | 73c | 3,824$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Medvedev | 40c | 3,323$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.82 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Tien | 57c | 3,300$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tien | 36c | 3,207$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.04 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Tien | 32c | 3,140$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.2 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Tien | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Tien | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Medvedev | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…0bd6backed Medvedev | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…1d5ebacked Medvedev | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Tien | 35c | 2,993$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.74 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Tien | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Medvedev | 17c | 2,921$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.66 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Medvedev | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Tien | 36c | 2,694$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.16 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438b…fb23backed Medvedev | 1c | 2,598$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Tien | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…81dabacked Medvedev | 54c | 2,386$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.65 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tien | 62c | 2,322$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Tien | 49c | 2,279$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Medvedev | 56c | 2,261$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.72 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Tien | 33c | 2,155$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.14 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tien | 44c | 2,143$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Medvedev | 30c | 2,026$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.7 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…accfbacked Medvedev | 17c | 1,996$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Medvedev | 65c | 1,949$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.97 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tien | 53c | 1,845$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.52 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Tien | 55c | 1,833$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.23 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Medvedev | 42c | 1,800$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Medvedev | 45c | 1,686$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.8 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Medvedev | 62c | 1,624$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Tien | 55c | 1,593$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.33 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed Medvedev | 9c | 1,554$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.64 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Medvedev | 46c | 1,518$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Medvedev | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Tien | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.12 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev | 48c | 1,504$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.84 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Tien | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Tien | 57c | 1,500$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.79 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Tien | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Tien | 57c | 1,483$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Tien | 71c | 1,480$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.39 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Tien | 36c | 1,474$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.26 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Medvedev | 25c | 1,435$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38b…b601backed Medvedev | 50c | 1,404$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Medvedev | 49c | 1,365$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.19 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Medvedev | 67c | 1,340$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.9 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Tien | 36c | 1,322$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.96 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Medvedev | 67c | 1,320$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.78 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Medvedev | 21c | 1,317$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.91 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tien | 57c | 1,266$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.54 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Medvedev | 57c | 1,223$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienthis page
- Medvedev vs. Tien: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Medvedev vs. Tien: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Medvedev vs. Tien: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs TienTien won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tien (+1.5)Tien won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Tien (+2.5)Tien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.