NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb14761ce5985c653404fe909a574277a779c28bfbcb574302e7aa2640306c32b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Kings, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,060,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Bulls | 64c | 323,146$205,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,894.85 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Kings | 36c | 178,695$65,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,217.16 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Kings | 37c | 100,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,999.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls | 63c | 65,000$40,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,050 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kings | 33c | 58,861$19,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,527.32 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Kings | 37c | 51,500$19,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,054.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Bulls | 63c | 35,680$22,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,201.64 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Bulls | 63c | 29,703$18,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,989.97 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f63dbacked Kings | 37c | 29,700$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,989 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 64c | 24,961$15,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,086.63 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 63c | 22,970$14,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,528.41 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 29c | 21,819$6,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,387.28 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 36c | 18,407$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.46 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kings | 37c | 18,178$6,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,695.81 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kings | 29c | 17,038$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.93 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kings | 36c | 16,280$5,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,879.45 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 36c | 16,276$5,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kings | 36c | 15,182$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.28 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bulls | 64c | 15,000$9,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.99 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kings | 36c | 14,442$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.96 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Kings | 63c | 14,193$8,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,913.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 36c | 13,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 21c | 12,427$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kings | 37c | 12,315$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Kings | 37c | 10,811$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Kings | 37c | 10,780$3,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.6 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe989…ed95backed Bulls | 80c | 8,733$6,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 37c | 8,600$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Bulls | 64c | 8,125$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Kings | 37c | 8,124$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.9 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls | 64c | 7,819$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.02 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 36c | 7,496$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,706.95 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 19c | 6,524$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb8…43f6backed Kings | 8c | 5,999$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.86 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Kings | 1c | 5,526$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…0f37backed Bulls | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Kings | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Kings | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 36c | 4,805$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.13 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 1c | 4,725$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kings | 22c | 4,660$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.78 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Bulls | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kings | 36c | 3,569$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.33 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Bulls | 58c | 3,462$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.07 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bulls | 57c | 3,273$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.98 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Bulls | 64c | 3,150$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Bulls | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Bulls | 63c | 3,001$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.02 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bulls | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1e…912ebacked Kings | 36c | 2,750$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bulls | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Bulls | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +173%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kings | 37c | 2,580$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.6 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Kings | 38c | 2,431$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.9 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…b2e1backed Bulls | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Kings | 10c | 2,375$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 37c | 2,351$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.69 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kings | 2c | 2,249$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 30c | 2,232$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Bulls | 64c | 2,192$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.33 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kings | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kings | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Kings | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.84 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…11aebacked Kings | 38c | 1,816$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bulls | 57c | 1,756$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.53 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3313…881ebacked Bulls | 65c | 1,737$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Bulls | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Bulls | 63c | 1,501$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.35 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Bulls | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Kings | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kings | 37c | 1,298$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Bulls | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kings | 36c | 1,189$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.04 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Bulls | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Bulls | 63c | 1,140$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.96 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kings | 36c | 1,080$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.69 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Kings | 8c | 1,062$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 17c | 1,001$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Bulls | 80c | 1,000$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Kings | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…fb3abacked Bulls | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Bulls | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bulls | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…90dfbacked Kings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kings | 36c | 966.96$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Bulls | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kings | 35c | 928.75$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.88 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Kings | 21c | 925.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 64c | 900.03$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.51 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Kings | 37c | 850.15$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.56 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa997…3552backed Kings | 37c | 849$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4100…42f8backed Bulls | 63c | 815$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Kings | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 124 | 27.4%34 W · 90 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Bulls | 61c | 799.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Bulls | 76c | 776.32$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Bullsthis page
- Kings vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Over won
- Kings vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.