NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161f63762a56bfb5fa2d53cfe12fc4a0e966cbfec15341bcc1aa3df753be01d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Timberwolves, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,593,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,611,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,593,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,985 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 8c | 752,010$60,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,928.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Nuggets | 51c | 599,283$305,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,623.53 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 175,160$87,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,250 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 165,039$79,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,218.76 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Nuggets | 50c | 154,328$76,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,765.71 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 138,844$71,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,333.8 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Timberwolves | 45c | 133,978$59,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,799.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Timberwolves | 48c | 121,335$58,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,034.44 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Timberwolves | 50c | 117,578$58,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,899.54 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Timberwolves | 51c | 106,290$53,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,764.13 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Timberwolves | 50c | 99,302$49,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,527 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 97,589$49,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,770.29 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Nuggets | 50c | 60,000$29,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 26c | 58,996$15,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,249.99 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 55,961$27,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,421.11 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 67c | 51,824$34,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,922.05 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 43c | 49,078$20,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,989.85 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Timberwolves | 49c | 45,000$21,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,900 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 36c | 44,938$16,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,396.6 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 40,816$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.95 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nuggets | 58c | 40,557$23,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,908.12 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 49c | 40,036$19,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,418.51 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,400 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 39,700$19,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,155.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 1c | 39,455$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.27 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 37,534$19,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,391.68 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Timberwolves | 26c | 34,300$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,871.35 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 17c | 33,062$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.03 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Nuggets | 70c | 31,462$21,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,525.5 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 30,000$14,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,940 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Timberwolves | 49c | 28,030$13,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,734.7 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Timberwolves | 47c | 27,026$12,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,791.06 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Nuggets | 51c | 26,906$13,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,107.68 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Timberwolves | 44c | 25,391$11,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,240.44 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 24,250$11,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,758.43 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 51c | 24,031$12,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,674.24 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 62c | 23,938$14,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,115.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d56…7486backed Timberwolves | 46c | 23,781$11,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,053.21 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…cc31backed Nuggets | 55c | 23,781$12,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,815.4 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Timberwolves | 22c | 23,726$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,128.55 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…5875backed Timberwolves | 46c | 23,659$10,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,961.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Nuggets | 51c | 21,960$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,760.31 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Nuggets | 55c | 21,652$11,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,726.22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…8b09backed Timberwolves | 1c | 21,056$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Timberwolves | 48c | 20,412$9,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695.58 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Timberwolves | 48c | 19,809$9,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,508.3 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Nuggets | 49c | 19,475$9,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.03 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 18,615$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,262.18 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Timberwolves | 41c | 18,480$7,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,577 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Nuggets | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Nuggets | 53c | 18,171$9,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,540.37 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 18,142$9,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,706.19 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…e88ebacked Timberwolves | 23c | 18,075$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,091.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…ec42backed Nuggets | 54c | 17,000$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…75a9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 17,000$7,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 67c | 16,755$11,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Nuggets | 60c | 15,019$9,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.6 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 56c | 14,745$8,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Nuggets | 51c | 14,679$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,179.28 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Nuggets | 50c | 14,600$7,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,331.93 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Timberwolves | 49c | 14,533$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,121.29 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 54c | 14,379$7,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,657.87 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6584…88c0backed Timberwolves | 20c | 14,250$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.04 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 13,942$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 51c | 13,679$7,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,026.09 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…80d2backed Timberwolves | 1c | 13,657$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Nuggets | 77c | 13,630$10,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,085.49 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Timberwolves | 36c | 13,411$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.64 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Timberwolves | 27c | 13,000$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,508.34 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 68c | 12,990$8,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,647$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…cf16backed Nuggets | 52c | 11,538$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,538.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Nuggets | 53c | 11,525$6,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,406.64 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Nuggets | 56c | 11,250$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,940$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,469.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 10,923$5,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.3 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Timberwolves | 22c | 10,517$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 10,250$5,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 11c | 9,855$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.97 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…c593backed Nuggets | 52c | 9,623$5,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Nuggets | 53c | 9,568$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,496.88 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,933$4,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.51 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 0c | 8,855$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 55c | 8,785$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.15 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 23c | 8,598$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.13 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Timberwolves | 49c | 8,538$4,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,183.62 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Nuggets | 46c | 8,202$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,461.04 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 8,185$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 58c | 8,101$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,408.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Timberwolves | 36c | 8,079$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.43 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Timberwolves | 49c | 7,998$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Nuggets | 68c | 7,963$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Nuggets | 59c | 7,800$4,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.99 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Timberwolves | 40c | 7,799$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.6 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Nuggets | 35c | 7,712$2,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.08 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 57c | 7,671$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.23 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Nuggets | 52c | 7,459$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,573.85 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Nuggets | 56c | 7,302$4,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.79 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsthis page
- Julius Randle: Assists Over 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 237.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 239.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.