TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,163
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,163 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea32…8870backed Under44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.841060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under44c8,369$3,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,686.491233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked Under45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,400955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…1263backed Over55c4,200$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8f…50dcbacked Under45c3,900$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6803132.3%10 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c2,648$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c2,222$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.6291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under46c2,161$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99f…748abacked Under45c2,100$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick46cpaid+49.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2356…70b2backed Over57c2,024$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1404351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8c…5f0abacked Over55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Over57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over54c1,753$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.67911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,497$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.533,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over55c1,455$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.2513149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c1,390$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.635158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c1,140$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over31c1,110$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.562259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c1,096$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.8833349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b8d…854cbacked Over56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over54c894.95$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.0210034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c9b…7fc3backed Over56c893.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over55c872.47$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.867040%28 W · 42 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under47c795.74$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.743444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over37c623.6$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe36e…01cbbacked Over57c489.47$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Under45c449.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.27785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+67.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over57c442.95$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c425.15$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4870239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over56c335.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5942844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over54c333.33$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over34c307.13$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.692,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefe4…8f49backed Under46c263.09$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.071250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over56c260.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.514841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over34c251.84$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under46c240.39$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9313920.1%28 W · 111 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Over55c218.18$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xffe9…395abacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over56c205.36$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x03de…4bfdbacked Over56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over55c182$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.15856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4ce…9356backed Over56c180.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over56c175$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under44c161$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1618049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c154.6$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over55c137.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0533847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over35c135.1$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.292850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e3…395cbacked Over55c134.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over56c130.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.669056.7%51 W · 39 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over33c130.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over56c119.73$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7710941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over57c119.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.885540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over57c114.04$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over55c110.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.28660.5%52 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under47c106.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.365660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c103.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.121243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Over56c102.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-69.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0efc…4cdebacked Over29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.424822.9%11 W · 37 L-7.8wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-50.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Under44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over57c89.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…66d7backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbf…06d3backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over34c86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2411643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516a…e1b2backed Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a4…b656backed Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Under49c81.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over56c80.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over58c76.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.737842.3%33 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over31c75.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0420047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x518b…cf8abacked Over55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea51…a876backed Over57c70.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.12060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Under46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.223243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+35.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed Under46c63.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under44c61.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.58650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over53c61.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6214641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under78c57.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b8…2dd5backed Under41c55.32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+86.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbcb…1879backed Over43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd969…342dbacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c52.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9937750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Under45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.54365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25de…ec0ebacked Over56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over55c45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.