TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,798 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under26c10,569$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.391,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over74c3,802$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under27c3,268$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.031,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over74c2,521$1,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.52259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under26c1,540$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.4112539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf5…0879backed Over74c1,165$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Over79c1,059$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.3675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under27c1,015$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.752,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10598.5%5 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2702,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under30c935.4$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.192,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over68c783.11$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1543442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Over73c773.96$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9732752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Over74c676.84$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8410943.1%47 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Over74c606.61$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.613174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Under37c599.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over62c596.4$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.422,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under26c538.38$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14059248.3%286 W · 306 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8712…8c47backed Over74c536.49$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.493100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20529240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…e2febacked Under41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.784949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Under26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13056317.2%97 W · 466 L-16.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed Over73c499.65$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9117561.1%107 W · 68 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over75c462.68$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Over71c459.07$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.928655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd5…8f67backed Over67c450.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1319251%98 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over74c450$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11739749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Over70c430.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.856864.7%44 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Over74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4119244.3%85 W · 107 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed Under36c400$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410960.6%66 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over73c396$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9220151.7%104 W · 97 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over52c384.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6812324.4%30 W · 93 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under27c364.41$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1532941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca38…e215backed Over74c358.8$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.292560%15 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under26c356.44$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.683,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under13c330.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.522,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e31…a06fbacked Over61c308.5$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.981573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Over73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8160053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845740.4%23 W · 34 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf95b…0c6fbacked Over72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416038.8%62 W · 98 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Over75c280$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7025764.2%165 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked Over74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.272142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…ab74backed Over74c268.92$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9216360.1%98 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a7…7916backed Over73c265$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Over71c256$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.547245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.51,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under22c248.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4389810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Under27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under47c211.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fb…4ecdbacked Under43c211.72$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Over74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.724453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91c7…fc89backed Over73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Under27c199.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9454129.9%162 W · 379 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Over51c199.15$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.582748.1%13 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick27cpaid+105%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under25c192$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.213,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Under29c172.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over74c159.07$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3617163.7%109 W · 62 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e96…61dfbacked Over70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.51978.9%15 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick58cpaid+54.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.528240.4%114 W · 168 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under33c142.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7221457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over69c139.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1395551.7%494 W · 461 L-12.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d15…8026backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30d…c27ebacked Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Over74c135.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.27859%46 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.147954.4%43 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b6…2108backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.149253.3%49 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d9…51c5backed Over74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.145062%31 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Over70c122.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1440347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over72c122.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.97844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f4…aaf3backed Under27c112$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over72c111.04$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0449346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over74c108.66$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6665063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712c…717bbacked Over66c107.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.632231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under33c105.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1254054.3%293 W · 247 L+26.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e1…5919backed Under28c104$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Over72c101.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8313971.2%99 W · 40 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f0…6718backed Over74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267169%49 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe888…4154backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274959.2%29 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Under28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over72c99.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1e…9ba0backed Over73c99.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273378.8%26 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe212…5243backed Under27c97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20d…b58bbacked Over74c94.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.596966.7%46 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Under43c93.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011145%50 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under28c90.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2844128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db3…9004backed Over74c87.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.05475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under41c81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0637345%168 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Under39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.842055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x289b…178cbacked Over71c73.41$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.455259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a4f…e6ffbacked Over73c68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0315950.9%81 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b9…cea8backed Over74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3128…e9ccbacked Over74c67.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.561566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4f…f9d5backed Over72c65.33$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.294100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf931…edddbacked Over74c60.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.812347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370a…b23fbacked Over72c59.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c4…f726backed Over69c57.22$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.853141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834d…29ecbacked Under53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.