Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aab1f6479542706d1b81a6fd217ddb8fb8263ce2dfc5744d072cdcc9f64391c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof Bilibili Gaming, BNK FEARX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,300 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 10,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 8,253$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.04 | 595 | 58.3%347 W · 248 L | -29.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…4f24backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 5,000$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.6 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 1,899$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.73 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 20c | 1,865$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.77 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 1,418$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 1,320$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BNK FEARX | 48c | 1,168$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.42 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Bilibili Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 873.85$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…1a19backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 745.32$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 380 | 34.7%132 W · 248 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 499.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Bilibili Gaming | 18c | 430.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BNK FEARX | 71c | 390.21$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Bilibili Gaming | 17c | 366.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked BNK FEARX | 62c | 305.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…d147backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…3345backed BNK FEARX | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 239.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 231.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 216.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bilibili Gaming | 24c | 209.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 200.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…0497backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 195.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83f9…bec4backed Bilibili Gaming | 26c | 193.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1b21backed Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 132.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9b44backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 126.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Bilibili Gaming | 37c | 119.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 101.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 96.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…e49fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 95.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…23c3backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 95.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…7ebdbacked BNK FEARX | 68c | 87.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…692abacked Bilibili Gaming | 38c | 77.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd27…4721backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 74.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BNK FEARX | 69c | 58.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…73aabacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 50.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25fa…bdd0backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 50.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…eb50backed BNK FEARX | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Bilibili Gaming | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e39ebacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e3…519bbacked BNK FEARX | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed BNK FEARX | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed BNK FEARX | 79c | 36.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…cf5abacked BNK FEARX | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked BNK FEARX | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…2c5ebacked BNK FEARX | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed BNK FEARX | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.