Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b57957ce9172b69eca8e1b11fa595d047c6596e5f8b158cd217db9d3d197787
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 67c | 12,500$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,374.97 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 37c | 12,075$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,659.14 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Over | 64c | 6,407$4,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Over | 33c | 3,575$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.13 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 36c | 2,867$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.22 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 3c | 1,174$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Under | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked Under | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 67c | 409$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…81d3backed Under | 28c | 400$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Under | 67c | 343$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 397 | 49.1%195 W · 202 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 34c | 337$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.79 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 30c | 219.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…1d5ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 28c | 187.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…a06dbacked Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a88…ded1backed Under | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 52c | 128.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 66c | 122.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 116.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 65c | 109.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed Under | 39c | 106.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…0c6fbacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 18c | 96.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 25c | 87.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 70c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 47c | 62.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed Under | 67c | 60.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +260.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 373 | 45%168 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e87…20cabacked Under | 66c | 54.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 30c | 50.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 26c | 48.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 34c | 48.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Over | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a36…65bdbacked Under | 39c | 43.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…4b85backed Under | 34c | 41.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f705backed Under | 39c | 41.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Under | 67c | 38.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 401 | 43.9%176 W · 225 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 67c | 29.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Over | 70c | 27.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Under | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 67c | 16.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?Bilibili Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 4?Bilibili Gaming won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game 5: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?No won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group ABilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.