TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87a7…4972

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.13
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$14.95
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.68
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$111.4
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+219.5%+$537.6
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.49
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$215.27
Jazz vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$203.68
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.82
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.48
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$95.65
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+590.5%+$70.85
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$867.27
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$27.94
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$184.46
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$224.77
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+328.7%+$336.13
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$849Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$329.95
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.59
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.45
Knicks vs. Jazz: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.92
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$368Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.55
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.08
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+260.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.02
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$5.83
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.49
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.39
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.91
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$71.63
LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.89
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$528Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$217.33
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+4,223.3%+$886.89
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$189.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$823Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$1,429.56
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$40.09
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs S2G Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Fbacked S2G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.22
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Colossal Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 3backed Arctic Pandas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$46.61
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group 2backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$18.62
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$71.78
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-69.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$12.15
Will Hyperliquid reach $44 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$92.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.09
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$5.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$459.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kai Kamaka III vs. Dakota Hope (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Dakota Hope · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.