TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,461

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x808d…4689backed Over50c147,587$73,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,793.72580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c89,975$44,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,987.3428350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c22,089$11,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,064.265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c13,040$6,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,570.841,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…8910backed Over50c8,654$4,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.0151756.5%292 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c7,500$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c3,975$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.6921748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under50c3,833$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.567250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under50c3,049$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.716,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under46c3,013$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.472,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over49c2,981$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.0112551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c2,743$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.281,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25075049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,667$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.4867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under52c1,178$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.486,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over47c1,054$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.627634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under50c854.91$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4665549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over50c779.18$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.319,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under52c692$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.8427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Over48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8618239.6%72 W · 110 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over49c535.89$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.896048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.655345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Under53c388.72$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0216644.6%74 W · 92 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c278.77$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.7510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over43c270.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.15,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over50c215$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.519951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c204.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0219452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under51c203.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1311245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c198.07$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.229255.4%51 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9724950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under51c188.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9121847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Under53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.183452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c179.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.971,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over52c171.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.914957.1%28 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under52c143.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.321,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c136.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.326647%31 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under52c125.41$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.912,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under53c117.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.471,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c114.68$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.491,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c104.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6730750.2%154 W · 153 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c92.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.321,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under51c72.69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1156851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under53c72.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.382,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under51c72.32$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.884551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Under70c70.14$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.118151.9%94 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over70c66.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Over47c66.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1510649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under52c65.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under51c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6226151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under53c61.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-51.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over27c57.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.331,36754.3%742 W · 625 L+16.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under50c57.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.556440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under52c55.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.067746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under69c50.53$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.014,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258360.2%50 W · 33 L+10.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2737747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.278847.7%42 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.273360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2715753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.273857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.277354.8%40 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2728646.2%132 W · 154 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under52c48.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.258248.8%40 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9497…556fbacked Over50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.251250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+53.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over49c48.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7216553.3%88 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.289254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87a7…4972backed Over80c44.37$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over50c42.21$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1111649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa582…8ec0backed Over49c39.58$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.194153.7%22 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Under65c37.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.471850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Over50c36.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.428153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over36c33.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.426437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36d…f0d1backed Over46c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over39c29.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0213439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d87…71cebacked Over50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c26.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under51c24.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8117244.2%76 W · 96 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under51c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.133537.1%13 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under57c23.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.281,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under51c20.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.274959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103540%14 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65f6…8333backed Over51c19.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73444.1%15 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.