MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e9f10073c5558d441fed7bb11c6d10b9b31013b3f1517fabea4cb94d50e3497
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $184,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x808d…4689backed Over | 50c | 147,587$73,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,793.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 50c | 89,975$44,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,987.34 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 22,089$11,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,064.2 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 13,040$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,570.84 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 50c | 8,654$4,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.01 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 3,975$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.69 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 50c | 3,833$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.5 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 3,049$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 3,013$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 49c | 2,981$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.01 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 2,743$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.28 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,667$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.48 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 52c | 1,178$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 47c | 1,054$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.62 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 50c | 854.91$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.46 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 779.18$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Under | 52c | 692$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.84 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 535.89$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 53c | 388.72$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 278.77$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 43c | 270.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.1 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 50c | 215$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 204.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.02 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 51c | 203.23$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 53c | 198.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 51c | 188.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Under | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 44c | 179.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 52c | 171.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 52c | 143.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 50c | 136.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 52c | 125.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 53c | 117.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 114.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 104.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 51c | 92.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 72.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 53c | 72.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 51c | 72.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Under | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 70c | 66.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 47c | 66.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Under | 52c | 65.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b9…9b83backed Under | 53c | 61.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 27c | 57.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 57.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 52c | 55.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 69c | 50.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Under | 52c | 48.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…556fbacked Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a7…4972backed Over | 80c | 44.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 50c | 42.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…8ec0backed Over | 49c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Under | 65c | 37.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 50c | 36.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Over | 36c | 33.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36d…f0d1backed Over | 46c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 39c | 29.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Over | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 26.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 51c | 24.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Under | 51c | 20.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Over | 51c | 19.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.