MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601854e38cc3e1cfb51ab8a701542383cefdca0cd159305c2e332d858f5e0221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Baltimore Orioles, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 89,381$37,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,168.73 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 32,261$14,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,759.36 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 24,673$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,554.17 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 20,000$10,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,699.92 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 18,564$11,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,368.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 17,893$10,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,581.79 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 14,673$8,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,166.67 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 13,993$6,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,716.81 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 13,898$8,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,643.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 13,720$8,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,021.94 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 11,286$3,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,346.84 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 10,804$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.15 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 8,669$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.9 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 7,700$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.11 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 7,488$4,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274.57 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 6,879$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,439.87 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 5,682$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,563.22 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 5,515$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.99 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 4,930$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 4,719$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.52 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 4,522$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.29 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 4,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,071$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 3,947$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.05 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 3,421$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.72 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,220$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.52 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 3,027$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 3,027$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.24 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 15.7%16 W · 86 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,990$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.36 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 2,892$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.36 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,750$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.77 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 2,729$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baltimore Orioles | 71c | 2,679$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.61 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 2,626$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.77 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…6800backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,384$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 2,266$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.8 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 2,222$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.78 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,164$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.58 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 2,118$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.67 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,088$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.11 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfc…6762backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,023$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 2,005$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.26 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 1,959$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.54 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 1,769$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 1,733$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.1 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.61 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 1,358$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.48 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 1,277$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.29 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,261$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.54 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,258$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.47 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 1,195$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.1 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 1,140$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.6 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 1,096$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 1,093$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.18 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 1,070$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.2 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,054$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.47 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,050$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,019$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 977.2$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 929.93$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.68 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 888.75$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.19 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 785.86$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.39 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 771$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.08 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 767.11$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.8 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 738.65$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 697.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.86 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 682.84$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.88 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 652.66$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.59 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 650.26$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.53 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 646.29$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.47 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 617.31$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.19 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 613.98$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.51 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Baltimore Orioles | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 587.4$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.81 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 578.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.35 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 574.03$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 560.95$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 560.66$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.88 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 532.88$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 528.42$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.1 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 525.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 72c | 491.6$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.95 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 431.56$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 65 | 13.8%9 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 426.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.78 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 404.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 403$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 392.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 377.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 371.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.