NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x983b5f5121f685ac70ccc8b471b6152b8f6780221dd274c35821125f3d629aee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,106,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,206,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,106,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 300,781$164,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,915.89 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Oilers | 45c | 153,658$69,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,146.29 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Avalanche | 52c | 57,651$29,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,703.95 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche | 54c | 55,750$30,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,644.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Oilers | 46c | 49,959$22,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,826.95 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Oilers | 52c | 40,188$20,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,962 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 45c | 22,600$10,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.42 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Avalanche | 55c | 18,101$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,101.04 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Oilers | 24c | 16,255$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980.23 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Oilers | 48c | 16,022$7,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,763.88 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Oilers | 47c | 15,923$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,426.55 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Oilers | 45c | 15,294$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.29 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 46c | 13,619$6,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.53 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Avalanche | 55c | 12,152$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,431.43 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Oilers | 46c | 12,080$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.75 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed Avalanche | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.82 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Oilers | 46c | 8,325$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Avalanche | 54c | 8,288$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.92 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d1…8ecabacked Oilers | 47c | 7,742$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Oilers | 49c | 7,269$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.84 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Oilers | 48c | 7,000$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.2 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 51c | 6,795$3,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.28 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Oilers | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Oilers | 27c | 6,282$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Oilers | 44c | 6,186$2,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.37 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche | 51c | 6,111$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.39 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Oilers | 54c | 6,094$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.92 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Oilers | 27c | 6,060$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.27 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Oilers | 48c | 5,982$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Oilers | 29c | 5,902$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.23 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,722$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.47 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Oilers | 46c | 5,419$2,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,489.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Avalanche | 55c | 5,314$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0e…718cbacked Oilers | 49c | 4,975$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 47c | 4,869$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.54 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Oilers | 47c | 4,750$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers | 44c | 4,690$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.13 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Oilers | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Oilers | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Oilers | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Avalanche | 55c | 4,500$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.98 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Oilers | 46c | 4,332$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.82 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Oilers | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…1f91backed Oilers | 48c | 4,157$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Oilers | 49c | 4,099$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.22 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Oilers | 46c | 4,001$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.53 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Oilers | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Oilers | 68c | 3,969$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.69 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Oilers | 47c | 3,906$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.36 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Oilers | 42c | 3,787$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Oilers | 48c | 3,775$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Avalanche | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.31 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Avalanche | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Oilers | 44c | 3,610$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Oilers | 44c | 3,550$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 45c | 3,546$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.82 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 53c | 3,485$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Oilers | 48c | 3,436$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.2 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…04fbbacked Oilers | 1c | 3,368$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…b22bbacked Oilers | 48c | 3,250$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 42c | 3,180$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Oilers | 47c | 3,149$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Oilers | 45c | 3,134$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 45c | 3,118$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.2 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…8ed1backed Oilers | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…1200backed Avalanche | 51c | 2,999$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 52c | 2,988$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.59 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 44c | 2,975$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.26 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Oilers | 45c | 2,915$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked Oilers | 47c | 2,900$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Oilers | 47c | 2,864$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Oilers | 46c | 2,650$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.99 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Avalanche | 51c | 2,512$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.05 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Oilers | 46c | 2,406$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.94 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…599dbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,307$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.2wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Avalanche | 55c | 2,246$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.59 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Oilers | 45c | 2,173$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oilers | 44c | 2,136$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.68 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 48c | 2,102$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Oilers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Oilers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.95 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,953$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Oilers | 46c | 1,943$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.09 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Oilers | 44c | 1,887$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.45 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Oilers | 48c | 1,875$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Oilers | 46c | 1,867$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.61 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Oilers | 71c | 1,818$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.15 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche | 55c | 1,775$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.39 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Oilers | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Avalanche | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Oilers | 45c | 1,662$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.09 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Oilers | 44c | 1,641$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Oilers | 45c | 1,569$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.05 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Avalanche | 55c | 1,542$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Avalanche | 70c | 1,529$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.61 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Avalanche | 28c | 1,521$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Oilers | 47c | 1,500$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 303 | 65.7%199 W · 104 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Oilersthis page
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.