NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac706f5aeffe15c2795e96eda9b368838893ca30ebb2f5b0d56014e5743873a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 3,071$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.11 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 2,612$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.08 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 1,901$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.22 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 1,735$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.71 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 1,536$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 48c | 989.58$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 736.2$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…5a60backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 46c | 597.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.45 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 571$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.95 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 47c | 471$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Under | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…cc29backed Under | 48c | 449.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 46c | 310.57$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.71 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…b852backed Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 299$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.48 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 282.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 10c | 215.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 48c | 209.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 207.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 49c | 196.28$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 6c | 183.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 47c | 166.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Over | 53c | 164$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Over | 52c | 149.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 131.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 126$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 116.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 47c | 113$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 48c | 105.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 105$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d8…4164backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 11c | 102.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 54c | 94.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…9a41backed Under | 52c | 92.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Under | 48c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 15c | 87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…d798backed Over | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 69.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Over | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 54c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…ec35backed Under | 48c | 46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over | 52c | 40.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 35c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Over | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 51c | 37.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Over | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 54c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…f33cbacked Over | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…bcb0backed Over | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328c…975cbacked Over | 53c | 23.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…cba4backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…3f31backed Over | 53c | 19.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5this page
- Avalanche vs. OilersAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 4.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Avalanche vs. Oilers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Oilers won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.