TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Misa Esports vs French Flair (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
French Flairof Misa Esports, French Flair
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,043

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,043 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbedb…3b26backed Misa Esports46c19,579$8,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,922.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed French Flair42c17,807$7,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,299.921,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked French Flair74c6,471$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.5559952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bdd…23dcbacked French Flair41c5,941$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.3817163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Misa Esports58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90027353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Misa Esports58c4,084$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.0528240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked French Flair42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3209853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked French Flair42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03049940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Misa Esports58c3,179$1,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed French Flair75c2,985$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3369756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6d…7294backed Misa Esports28c2,829$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.795742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed French Flair57c2,817$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.4349549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked French Flair67c2,816$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.1578050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked French Flair73c2,632$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.411035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Misa Esports28c2,093$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5867343.8%32 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed French Flair43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Misa Esports57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f5…6092backed Misa Esports57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed French Flair43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed French Flair43c1,812$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.631566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+165.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair68c1,757$1,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.462,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Misa Esports58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Misa Esports59c1,700$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.9925268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Misa Esports39c1,666$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.2319146.1%88 W · 103 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Misa Esports31c1,612$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked French Flair72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39279653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a7…4972backed Misa Esports11c1,387$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.891764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+260.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdeba…9ff9backed Misa Esports58c1,321$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed French Flair68c1,316$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.9239246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed French Flair42c1,309$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.521,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports57c1,300$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.9982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Misa Esports57c1,294$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.51825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfed8…9dd0backed Misa Esports26c1,292$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.931540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+140.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed French Flair58c1,285$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9224759.1%146 W · 101 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Misa Esports58c1,268$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.7230035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed French Flair43c1,268$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.991,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair58c1,222$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.311,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Misa Esports59c1,208$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71333143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64c8…dd31backed Misa Esports57c1,175$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed French Flair48c1,148$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.4624939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6791…b1febacked French Flair67c1,119$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a4…8260backed Misa Esports58c1,113$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.542050%10 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…57c7backed Misa Esports57c1,098$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.835356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked French Flair43c1,083$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.312653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Misa Esports57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Misa Esports43c1,046$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.8827636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed French Flair42c1,016$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.8152848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked French Flair49c1,016$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.566437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed French Flair43c1,010$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.710521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x449f…cf01backed Misa Esports27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-77.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked French Flair43c999.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57022545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Misa Esports58c980$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.464443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked French Flair78c973.66$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.821,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked French Flair43c908.42$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.4910933%36 W · 73 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Misa Esports58c862$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick56cpaid-58.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4017…46eebacked Misa Esports58c855.17$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+245.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed French Flair42c820.54$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.1821028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed French Flair48c799.99$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41650646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Misa Esports38c799.98$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.9937039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked French Flair76c762$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.947537.3%28 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed French Flair43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3991,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked French Flair43c699.98$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.9921150.7%107 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Misa Esports58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Misa Esports59c638.98$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37724041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Misa Esports58c637.93$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed French Flair42c628.13$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.3330247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9d…821fbacked Misa Esports58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3485253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Misa Esports58c592.83$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Misa Esports58c567.59$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.212850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports33c558$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.142,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed French Flair43c544.12$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.5286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed French Flair52c540.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0914554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Misa Esports58c517.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports58c512.07$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29768557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x437b…0ba4backed French Flair42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29015255.3%84 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…915dbacked French Flair70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7d…2281backed Misa Esports39c498.97$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.581070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked French Flair42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1929944.1%132 W · 167 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed French Flair42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked French Flair42c469.09$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.471,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed French Flair70c429.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.636761.2%41 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked French Flair65c427.44$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.749442.6%40 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Misa Esports29c408$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.222,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed French Flair73c400$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed French Flair68c383.77$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.6474250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked French Flair62c374.16$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0114748.3%71 W · 76 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Misa Esports59c372.41$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21886649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2e…c9cbbacked French Flair45c372$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5514742.2%62 W · 85 L+0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Misa Esports58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20340237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Misa Esports57c344.74$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.519042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939f…7eabbacked Misa Esports59c341.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked Misa Esports32c313.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Misa Esports58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17423932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked French Flair43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17161143.5%266 W · 345 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…39e1backed Misa Esports58c299.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9911150.5%56 W · 55 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Misa Esports59c279$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.615431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked French Flair73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.979459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe8…d8babacked Misa Esports59c272.12$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Misa Esports30c258$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3773…e51bbacked Misa Esports57c252.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1318743.3%81 W · 106 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.