TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x939f…7eab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Champions League at 50 out of 100; worst Commodities at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT4742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$52.72
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$121.26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.64
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$37.3
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$63.4
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.55
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.34
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$46.47
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$54.66
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$65.51
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.52
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.62
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$48.63
Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Eintracht Spandau (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.95
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.7
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$183.61
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs Solary - Game 1 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$98.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.