Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f9e14e2c8b7d52365cb7f8d9ffad897fa0fba53a0c9c10fe9f64e0bc97e7c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Movistar KOI Fénix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,742 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 3,985$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.2 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 3,323$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.44 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 1,678$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.34 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 1,110$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.16 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 790.65$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 724$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.72 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 542.7$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.6 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 54c | 398.7$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 392.95$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed Karmine Corp Blue | 62c | 340$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 249.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp Blue | 54c | 225$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 35c | 207$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Karmine Corp Blue | 55c | 91.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 73.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Movistar KOI Fénix | 53c | 61.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 47c | 59.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Karmine Corp Blue | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…0a97backed Karmine Corp Blue | 53c | 47.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Karmine Corp Blue | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 31.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Movistar KOI Fénix | 52c | 28.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI Fénix won
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.