TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5a3…0a97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3372.7%24 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+37.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.33
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.73
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$30.28
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.63
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.58
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.77
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+173.6%+$27.65
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$18.74
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$45.3
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.84
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.39
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.26
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.29
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$10.69
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.46
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.57
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.56
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$24.21
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.14
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Maria Timofeeva vs Katie Boulterbacked Maria Timofeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.7
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.34
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.98
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.71
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.22
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.33
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Machacbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.88
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.85
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.98
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Gabriel Diallobacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$4.48
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.34
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.26
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.83
Credit One Charleston Open, Qualification: Aliona Bolsova vs Ekaterine Gorgodzebacked Ekaterine Gorgodze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.72
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.8
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
LoL: LNG Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$22.41
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.16
LoL: G2 NORD vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$12.51
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.58
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (+1.5)backed Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.24
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$23.87
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 1 Winnerbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+140%+$34.42
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$29.14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.75
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+203.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$113.3
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.22
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (W)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick76cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.91
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$68.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.