NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18fb2507225199ea68a0e9d325e6acc5e8f3af41e4619c5820a51442cae8dacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Salavat Yulaev Ufa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,112 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 5,258$3,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.6 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 3,835$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.78 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 1,020$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.97 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 787.19$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.91 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 773.77$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.77 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…4925backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 767.5$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 547.52$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 488.7$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 427$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 343$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.34 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 270.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…55bbbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 244.47$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 42c | 240.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 227$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 63c | 221.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…4c44backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 166.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 106.37$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514e…a604backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 27c | 99.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 92.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 72c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 64c | 83.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…0a97backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 82.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 33c | 60.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…ef47backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 50.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 49.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 61c | 49.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 47.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 43.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 40.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 35.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 38c | 30.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3faf…31d3backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 63c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Salavat Yulaev Ufa | 39c | 29.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…aeb1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 28.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 25.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 69c | 24.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 73c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.