TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Galionsof French Flair, Galions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,022 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked Galions44c10,600$4,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,935.951,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked French Flair56c6,032$3,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.621540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed French Flair12c6,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7002850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed French Flair52c6,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.953,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked French Flair28c5,328$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.0466437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Galions48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6006556.9%37 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed French Flair56c4,968$2,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.3428341%116 W · 167 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked French Flair55c4,600$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Galions44c4,121$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.711,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Galions45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9844047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galions44c3,421$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.41,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Galions79c3,365$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.231,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Galions46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9350040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Galions46c2,500$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9848440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Galions62c2,385$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.5449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked French Flair30c2,340$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.2911035.5%39 W · 71 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Galions47c2,130$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.961645.3%279 W · 337 L+36.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked French Flair52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04077131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked French Flair57c1,900$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.0712653.2%67 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked French Flair58c1,720$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.625668.4%175 W · 81 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed French Flair54c1,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001566.7%10 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+165.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked French Flair56c1,607$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Galions47c1,569$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.4524939%97 W · 152 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked French Flair56c1,498$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.7730035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8f…57c7backed Galions47c1,474$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.225356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Galions73c1,416$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.887537.3%28 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Galions46c1,306$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.9216339.3%64 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed French Flair53c1,199$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9264943.1%280 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked French Flair39c1,166$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.182,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed French Flair25c1,111$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.752844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed French Flair53c1,006$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.2341433.6%139 W · 275 L-30.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf374…ce1abacked Galions57c999.96$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked French Flair54c944.44$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51018244.5%81 W · 101 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked French Flair54c933.54$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.112466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+44.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked French Flair55c899.1$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Galions51c843.72$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5576953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed French Flair44c840.95$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.232,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked French Flair42c809.67$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9158420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed French Flair54c803.7$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43433143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked French Flair53c753.42$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3132345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked French Flair55c713.33$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38940237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed French Flair30c703.62$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.971,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Galions40c700$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42037039.5%146 W · 224 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Galions48c687.5$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.522545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed French Flair13c686$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.533,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c6d…7294backed Galions75c668.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.795742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked French Flair60c660$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da3…5a49backed Galions76c656.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.195164.7%33 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Galions63c648.02$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.622568%17 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac1…1b0fbacked Galions40c628$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked French Flair53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3181,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac61…be42backed Galions43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed French Flair57c575.25$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8941347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2073…3af0backed Galions40c559$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed French Flair56c505.45$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28420249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Galions46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2707851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Galions70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15050848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed French Flair54c493.09$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2713249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked French Flair54c486.33$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6238756.6%219 W · 168 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x586f…3184backed French Flair60c481$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed French Flair12c474.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.781,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed French Flair13c473.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3827636.2%100 W · 176 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed French Flair57c436.22$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.652867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Galions47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.537057.1%40 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed French Flair45c422.22$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7769756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Galions47c400$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x939f…7eabbacked French Flair57c379.63$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.94742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Galions47c375$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.752,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed French Flair54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc006…3c94backed French Flair53c344.08$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1835034%17 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Galions46c333.26$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9330247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675f…aa0bbacked French Flair16c318.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9522747.6%108 W · 119 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed French Flair54c311.06$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9718829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked French Flair53c306.92$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.675653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed French Flair55c298.56$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.914754.4%80 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed French Flair4c291.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bba…d34cbacked French Flair54c286.09$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.49757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2270…2d8cbacked French Flair60c285$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf40…695dbacked French Flair60c273$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33cc…915dbacked Galions74c271.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked French Flair58c269$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.028943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked French Flair56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed French Flair44c267.58$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2114554.5%79 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked French Flair53c267.54$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5113357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Galions74c264$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6830545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x893e…c716backed French Flair43c240.05$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.22450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked French Flair36c238.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…97eebacked Galions40c238$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed French Flair54c237.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Galions45c224.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+71.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked Galions51c223.96$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8424949.8%124 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked French Flair29c216.65$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x006d…7f3dbacked Galions40c216$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Galions47c213.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.954944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Galions48c208.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.951,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed French Flair13c205$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0514231%44 W · 98 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92a…23d6backed Galions40c201$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick22cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Galions46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10e5…b756backed French Flair53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Galions54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9256341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.