Lol · resolved market

LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe7e9200c4324cb7d644d8c69a13efb7cfb5a85962647a710c31f67d8ee5bac

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Galionsof French Flair, Galions
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9671…3a70backed French Flair	4c	5,998$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.99	284	4.6%13 W · 271 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions	77c	3,406$2,635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.75	2,004	58.2%1,166 W · 838 L	+86.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked French Flair	26c	2,110$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.59	2,406	42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L	+21.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed French Flair	2c	2,021$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	288	27.4%79 W · 209 L	-30.6wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed Galions	75c	1,533$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.8	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked French Flair	5c	1,429$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.63	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair	7c	1,172$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.3	2,825	41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L	-14.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed French Flair	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,806	39.1%707 W · 1,099 L	-30.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Galions	48c	955.79$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.01	139	46%64 W · 75 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked French Flair	48c	901.4$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.67	1,598	42.4%677 W · 921 L	-17.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair	28c	895.14$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.86	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed French Flair	35c	867.25$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.83	180	41.7%75 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Galions	49c	700.65$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.35	495	49.1%243 W · 252 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Galions	52c	576.92$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276.92	276	38.4%106 W · 170 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed French Flair	10c	525$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Galions	55c	500$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.25	685	57.5%394 W · 291 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed French Flair	15c	435.89$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	579	47.3%274 W · 305 L	-14.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Galions	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Galions	78c	398.78$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.78	483	53.4%258 W · 225 L	-19.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed French Flair	53c	386.3$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.04	448	43.8%196 W · 252 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Galions	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	1,251	54.1%677 W · 574 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked French Flair	24c	381.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	480	42.3%203 W · 277 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed French Flair	52c	377.81$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.46	394	47.2%186 W · 208 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Galions	78c	319.97$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.88	1,592	34%541 W · 1,051 L	-79.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bba…d34cbacked Galions	51c	297.24$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair	41c	296.2$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.3	2,905	38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L	-118.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Galions	47c	282.93$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.95	508	48.4%246 W · 262 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed French Flair	49c	255.87$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.38	392	46.4%182 W · 210 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed French Flair	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-6.9wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked French Flair	52c	210$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	402	37.8%152 W · 250 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed Galions	53c	189.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.26	571	51.5%294 W · 277 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Galions	64c	180.38$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.94	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed French Flair	9c	169.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Galions	77c	147.05$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.2	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Galions	52c	118.64$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.24	700	57.3%401 W · 299 L	+36.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed French Flair	22c	113.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	751	42.1%316 W · 435 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc834…685fbacked Galions	77c	113.38$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.38	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	67cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x174b…e030backed French Flair	52c	104.96$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-45%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2f9…eb15backed French Flair	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	150	50%75 W · 75 L	+8.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed French Flair	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	160	43.1%69 W · 91 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Galions	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	1,216	44.4%540 W · 676 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed French Flair	50c	99.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.7	441	29.5%130 W · 311 L	-45.9wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-48%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed French Flair	17c	99.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked French Flair	52c	96.9$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	326	50.3%164 W · 162 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8c…81febacked French Flair	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Galions	50c	89.81$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.68	625	58.7%367 W · 258 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed French Flair	52c	80.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.7	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed French Flair	20c	72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	+12.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked French Flair	20c	72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	305	45.2%138 W · 167 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed French Flair	28c	66.88$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	1,643	44.4%730 W · 913 L	-42.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc78a…ea34backed Galions	78c	64.99$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.3	440	62.7%276 W · 164 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3264…693ebacked French Flair	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-4.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf275…5000backed French Flair	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed French Flair	38c	55.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Galions	50c	51.87$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.94	566	50%283 W · 283 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed Galions	52c	48.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	153	60.1%92 W · 61 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b70…1efebacked Galions	51c	47.16$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.28	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed French Flair	52c	46.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.1	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed French Flair	27c	40$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf0…2b6dbacked French Flair	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed French Flair	52c	37.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked French Flair	52c	31.71$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d43…3576backed French Flair	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed2…ad1dbacked French Flair	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd1…aeaebacked French Flair	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8b…d51abacked French Flair	53c	28.48$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	38cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed French Flair	52c	28.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.84	60	25%15 W · 45 L	-7.4wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xea81…ef51backed French Flair	52c	26.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed French Flair	52c	26.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.69	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Galions	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	1,372	48.6%667 W · 705 L	+57.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Galions	51c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.33	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c8…ea9cbacked French Flair	52c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbbe…9fb7backed French Flair	52c	24.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	182	55.5%101 W · 81 L	-8.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x053e…1e27backed French Flair	52c	23.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b28…0390backed French Flair	52c	20.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	52cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf94a…d25abacked French Flair	52c	20.98$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6d7…526dbacked Galions	51c	20.45$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.02	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event