Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acd784995be7244862251c0332bc5393e4b8abd266fda7da9c4510a555afd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof French Flair, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,810 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Galions | 78c | 5,676$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.76 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked French Flair | 46c | 2,316$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.87 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked French Flair | 32c | 2,150$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.95 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed French Flair | 23c | 1,747$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.97 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Galions | 51c | 1,684$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galions | 53c | 1,344$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.38 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed French Flair | 27c | 1,249$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 213 | 34.7%74 W · 139 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Galions | 50c | 1,230$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed French Flair | 36c | 1,225$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.7 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked French Flair | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed French Flair | 43c | 1,009$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed French Flair | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed French Flair | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Galions | 49c | 899.99$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 1,441 | 57.4%827 W · 614 L | +35.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Galions | 53c | 835.75$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.8 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Galions | 46c | 812.24$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.61 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…1f20backed French Flair | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 529 | 47.6%252 W · 277 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Galions | 70c | 688.14$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked French Flair | 9c | 669$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Galions | 68c | 660.49$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…3ce0backed French Flair | 22c | 611$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 150 | 12%18 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked French Flair | 43c | 588.82$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Galions | 67c | 550.06$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Galions | 57c | 544.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.87 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Galions | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked French Flair | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair | 46c | 454.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.07 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed French Flair | 54c | 370.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,255 | 54.1%679 W · 576 L | -30.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair | 35c | 363.43$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.02 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed French Flair | 54c | 318.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed French Flair | 37c | 299.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Galions | 53c | 282.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.32 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Galions | 53c | 275$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 140 | 32.1%45 W · 95 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed French Flair | 32c | 260$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Galions | 61c | 250.64$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.75 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked French Flair | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed French Flair | 5c | 243.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,813 | 39.1%709 W · 1,104 L | -30.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed French Flair | 40c | 236.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…81febacked French Flair | 37c | 229.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Galions | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 482 | 43.2%208 W · 274 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Galions | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 188 | 65.4%123 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Galions | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Galions | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f74…13cebacked French Flair | 10c | 153$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174b…e030backed French Flair | 37c | 145.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed French Flair | 51c | 144.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Galions | 61c | 111$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 640 | 48.1%308 W · 332 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed Galions | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Galions | 49c | 100.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Galions | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Galions | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed Galions | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked French Flair | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed French Flair | 44c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed French Flair | 51c | 97.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed French Flair | 41c | 97.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Galions | 55c | 84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed French Flair | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Galions | 60c | 81.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 655 | 63.2%414 W · 241 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…5000backed French Flair | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…3515backed French Flair | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Galions | 47c | 68.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed French Flair | 37c | 67.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed French Flair | 37c | 67.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed French Flair | 37c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 61c | 66.38$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed French Flair | 34c | 62.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Galions | 70c | 62.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked French Flair | 43c | 59.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Galions | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed French Flair | 24c | 57.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Galions | 71c | 54.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…2b6dbacked French Flair | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Galions | 48c | 52.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked French Flair | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574b…023cbacked French Flair | 49c | 50.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Galions | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed French Flair | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed French Flair | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galions | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed French Flair | 50c | 46.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked French Flair | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 697 | 46.8%326 W · 371 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed French Flair | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed French Flair | 34c | 44.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…d51abacked French Flair | 37c | 40.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Galions | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Galions | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 442 | 62.9%278 W · 164 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…ffc6backed French Flair | 38c | 39.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Galions | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5389…1e77backed French Flair | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…ea9cbacked French Flair | 37c | 36.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked French Flair | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked French Flair | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Galions | 57c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Galions | 54c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…cbeebacked French Flair | 37c | 32.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Galions | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed French Flair | 37c | 31.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Galions | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.