Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d509d4ff1a3463a5ca050eaf2a83f2abc85c290e47a84fa713b6654838c8a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,586 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bdd…23dcbacked Under | 55c | 22,522$12,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,235.43 | 171 | 63.2%108 W · 63 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 45c | 11,514$5,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,181.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 46c | 7,677$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,531.42 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 54c | 6,772$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.77 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 46c | 5,550$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 1,460$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.73 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d40…2b37backed Under | 55c | 1,458$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…6aa7backed Over | 45c | 1,458$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 45c | 1,400$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.95 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Over | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 45c | 880.33$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.02 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Over | 46c | 838.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.57 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 46c | 803.52$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.62 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 600$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 46c | 563.93$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 46c | 427.27$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 45c | 344.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bd…8f48backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 45c | 178.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…1e0cbacked Over | 45c | 166.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Over | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Under | 55c | 131.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 34.4%44 W · 84 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb402…42cebacked Over | 46c | 96.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…cca0backed Under | 56c | 74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 302 | 47%142 W · 160 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Over | 46c | 63.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…1f70backed Over | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed Over | 46c | 56.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…d682backed Under | 56c | 52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2d…6b23backed Over | 46c | 51.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 45c | 49.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f8…b82fbacked Under | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Under | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…12a2backed Over | 46c | 36.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 46c | 35.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Under | 56c | 34.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 131 | 61.1%80 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Over | 46c | 30.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Over | 50c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 46c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…5af6backed Under | 55c | 27.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…4da1backed Over | 46c | 24.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ce…f240backed Over | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 56c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)Galions won
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: French Flair vs Galions - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.