Lol · resolved market
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7e1608406e35291dcd8546fb51734e270b69a83d5d0a9022940cfcf59970a35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- French Flairof French Flair, G2 NORD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,703 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc7…4003backed French Flair | 64c | 6,108$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.32 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair | 64c | 5,165$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.97 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 NORD | 29c | 4,202$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.53 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed French Flair | 74c | 3,479$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 NORD | 28c | 3,398$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.38 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 NORD | 31c | 2,795$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.31 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 NORD | 35c | 2,037$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.28 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 NORD | 37c | 1,919$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.5 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked G2 NORD | 34c | 1,505$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.56 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed French Flair | 78c | 1,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 NORD | 38c | 1,441$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.45 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…7a53backed G2 NORD | 1c | 1,435$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed French Flair | 65c | 1,188$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.07 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 NORD | 34c | 1,142$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.72 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked French Flair | 57c | 999.92$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.62 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 NORD | 32c | 943.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.14 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed French Flair | 55c | 900$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 428 | 52.3%224 W · 204 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed French Flair | 66c | 833.28$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.09 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed G2 NORD | 38c | 825$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed G2 NORD | 35c | 818.25$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.78 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair | 74c | 772.44$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed G2 NORD | 35c | 674.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed G2 NORD | 35c | 660.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed French Flair | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed G2 NORD | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…434bbacked French Flair | 71c | 496.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked G2 NORD | 44c | 482.37$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed French Flair | 65c | 437.28$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed G2 NORD | 10c | 423.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 NORD | 22c | 418.78$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…486cbacked G2 NORD | 14c | 366.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed G2 NORD | 9c | 330.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed G2 NORD | 25c | 305$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked French Flair | 57c | 299.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…3421backed G2 NORD | 6c | 233.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked French Flair | 64c | 204.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed G2 NORD | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed G2 NORD | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked French Flair | 56c | 179.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…af53backed French Flair | 70c | 171.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…c91dbacked G2 NORD | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed G2 NORD | 37c | 149.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…a579backed French Flair | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…233dbacked G2 NORD | 43c | 134.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked G2 NORD | 33c | 133$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed G2 NORD | 15c | 131.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked G2 NORD | 10c | 130.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed French Flair | 57c | 117.58$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked G2 NORD | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked French Flair | 70c | 109.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed G2 NORD | 30c | 105.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked French Flair | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked French Flair | 59c | 86.67$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…3e1fbacked French Flair | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked G2 NORD | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed G2 NORD | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed French Flair | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed French Flair | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed French Flair | 60c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed G2 NORD | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked French Flair | 72c | 73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked French Flair | 69c | 72.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed G2 NORD | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed G2 NORD | 26c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…0a97backed French Flair | 58c | 56.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed G2 NORD | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked French Flair | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…8bf0backed French Flair | 64c | 49.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed G2 NORD | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked French Flair | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed G2 NORD | 47c | 34.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 NORD | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…a377backed French Flair | 65c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked French Flair | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…0723backed French Flair | 60c | 26.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed French Flair | 80c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…9c02backed French Flair | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39e…23a5backed French Flair | 64c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed French Flair | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FF (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)French Flair won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsFrench Flair won
- LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 1 WinnerFrench Flair won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.