TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe39e…23a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Middle East, grading 67 out of 100 (+0.16 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 67 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT5761.4%35 W · 22 L+12.8wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+68.5%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
Middle East — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.16
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$68.5
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.42
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$303.46
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$19.96
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.18
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$19.09
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$9.15
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3917.9%7 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on April 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.52
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.96
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$7.66
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+1,539.3%+$187.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.46
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.84
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$24.39
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.14
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Unsettled Resentment · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Morningstar vs BMZ (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked BMZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.82
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs The QUBE Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup 2 Playoffsbacked The QUBE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$24.15
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+39%+$5.84
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.49
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.82
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$8.42
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$14.03
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.76
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Galions vs Solary - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$8.48
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$33.49
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Spread: Knicks (-15.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$25.61
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$92.62
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.88
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.22
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.63
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$9.79
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.72
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-17.5)backed Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$12.19
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.61
St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs. La Salle Explorersbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.31
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Predators vs. Blackhawksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Flyers vs. Kingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Blackhawks vs. Penguinsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Predators vs. Devilsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+85.2%+$59.63
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.47
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$42.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$31.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$33.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+147%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked Dominican Rep. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$181.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Abacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$7.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran successfully target shipping on March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.