TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$390,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,689 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under49c262,817$128,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,145.432065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,0008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c58,727$29,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,950.948756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Over50c44,120$22,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,017.652250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c42,788$21,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,441.3483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c24,724$12,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,609.3869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over49c21,223$10,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,338.7413645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c13,978$7,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,124.512,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over51c9,348$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,767.619244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c9,146$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.971450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under51c8,556$4,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,178.475339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over52c8,110$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8b…11cabacked Over53c7,989$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,233.961050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23c…33f1backed Over51c7,900$4,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,008.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04024145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over51c2,912$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.027349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under63c2,702$1,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.453,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,300$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.3464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c2,122$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.2228045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,104$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0901,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over49c1,968$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.558252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over51c1,928$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.423456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over51c1,903$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.587954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over51c1,791$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.296746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over26c1,731$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.531,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…4568backed Over53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Over50c1,586$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.876746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under47c1,565$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.21887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.41per pick46cpaid+91.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over53c1,237$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.456546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c1,225$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.5722455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under47c1,214$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.547561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c1,181$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.622758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over51c1,022$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.331643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over52c999.99$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Over52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c861.17$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.2220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over51c856.41$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.779564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c803.95$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.144,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over21c789.83$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over51c630.89$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over51c626.75$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3775451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under47c595.67$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c583.56$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2928357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over52c580.48$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8517541.1%72 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over51c550.01$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.5469750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over53c520.74$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9911929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Under47c508$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.242259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under48c501.95$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.012263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Over51c475.78$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.652045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-38.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over30c475.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.658732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over51c461.8$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.5216660.8%101 W · 65 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under46c456.92$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under47c411.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.235662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under48c393.45$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.64755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3c…37e4backed Over51c388.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under47c380.32$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5710464.4%67 W · 37 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under52c371.26$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.891,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431c…12ecbacked Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd4…a579backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8654…6d92backed Over52c366.36$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under53c359.58$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4711266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under47c340.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3917659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over51c323.53$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Under55c320.83$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.425671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over51c311.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.086660.6%40 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over54c307.39$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9911741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over21c302.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.611,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over34c299.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.979641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over51c293.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.721435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under54c291.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.195366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over32c287.76$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.082128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over20c238$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67855.1%43 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65be…5546backed Over51c220.76$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over50c217$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.645743.9%25 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over51c209.35$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.777354.8%40 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over50c207.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.966460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under47c205.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1617856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c195.95$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.856962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under48c193.76$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.763345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c192.31$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.068055%44 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked Under47c187.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.553562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.124755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3244…39b3backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b0…d341backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bf2…9959backed Over53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.181258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over50c180.63$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.317950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over52c175.79$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.414245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under47c166.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1519260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under47c160.45$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.047150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c160.33$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.961,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda68…d77fbacked Under47c158.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.07683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over51c156.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.038670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under47c155.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2216456.7%93 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a7…ac65backed Over10c141.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.