La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb4e04c961cf3fe831ad689eebab73c53b54bd738d3d4cba4358162cf2081cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Under | 80c | 7,485$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 6,095$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.23 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 17c | 1,569$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 761.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 71c | 691.97$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.67 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 80c | 619.53$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 618.45$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.72 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 29c | 152$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0542…e195backed Over | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 72.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 20c | 63.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 69c | 61.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…7685backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 80c | 35.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x806c…d4fbbacked Under | 71c | 24.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Under | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 69c | 19.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 71c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.