La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea4c1a022e33b00bd8edf6d1f8a76dcfe0c2b06d1f3054c0b84bc7c5fc511bfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaof Real Betis Balompié, RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Real Betis Balompié | 30c | 497.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 70c | 480.66$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.7 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 248$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 79c | 244.88$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Real Betis Balompié | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 77c | 128.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 27c | 74.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 15c | 69.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 59.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Real Betis Balompié | 31c | 41.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Real Betis Balompié | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…fb07backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 75c | 32.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 68c | 28.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 26.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 69c | 26.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 74c | 17.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked RCD Espanyol de Barcelona | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)RCD Espanyol de Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.