TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,822,232
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,844,457

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,822,232 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 459 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed Yes48c2,023,692$970,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052,809.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No52c826,497$429,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429,778.528756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No52c434,000$225,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225,68010450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed No52c390,000$202,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,8001070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes48c317,609$152,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,156.4910948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No52c104,167$54,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,166.841163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed Yes48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No52c98,168$51,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,365.350149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c68…7748backed No52c86,251$44,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,850.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No52c70,000$36,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,4005152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No52c54,730$28,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,459.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes46c46,269$21,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,985.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No53c43,600$23,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,031.671,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No52c35,870$18,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,652.42951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No52c30,704$15,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,9662646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed No52c27,615$14,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,359.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed No52c23,037$11,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,979.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed No52c19,989$10,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,394.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick52cpaid-75%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No52c14,771$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.911758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No52c11,000$5,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7208041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bb6…cb97backed No52c10,968$5,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No46c10,897$4,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.1290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No53c10,650$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.52532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd09…05b2backed No54c10,340$5,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,560.351127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-59.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2007349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No52c9,938$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,167.026538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c9,398$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.7364046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked No55c8,942$4,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,918.21850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No54c8,667$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6801136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c8,592$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.473,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f84…0982backed No52c7,685$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,99610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Yes44c7,588$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,256.065520%11 W · 44 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No52c7,277$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.223444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No52c7,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6405757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes48c6,621$3,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.9228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes48c5,930$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.9220360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No56c5,889$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.7613645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes46c5,819$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.3410848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes49c5,759$2,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.3823456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked No52c5,486$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No53c5,114$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.1221355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c4,968$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,645.652,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed No52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes45c4,750$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,612.6712553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No54c4,621$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.0716740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No52c4,500$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,340333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed No53c4,347$2,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.75650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No52c4,220$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No52c4,190$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.81118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-65.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked No52c4,009$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,084.68955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No52c3,576$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.525757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c3,237$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.244,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes48c3,125$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6254025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Yes48c3,065$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.872254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56035054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5601540%6 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb148…9355backed Yes48c2,925$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9928055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No52c2,550$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3266360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No53c2,500$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3253762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes47c2,451$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.0649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No53c1,957$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.3532645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked No53c1,900$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes48c1,787$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes46c1,630$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.198251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No53c1,611$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8683650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8485253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes44c1,578$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.4223727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No54c1,541$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8326555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No20c1,422$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.11,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes46c1,364$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.1920843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed No56c1,305$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c1,226$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.2925872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked No52c1,215$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.83946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b93…e941backed No57c1,176$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-80.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Yes49c1,159$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.011258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes33c1,145$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.454146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1115646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.116848.5%33 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No54c1,095$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.36839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No52c1,050$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.955939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed No52c1,043$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.364259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.416061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5204254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No52c940$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No54c925$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.550949.5%252 W · 257 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes48c918.7$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.668670.9%61 W · 25 L+11.2wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No58c899.98$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.9918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No53c888.39$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.5620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No53c848.11$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.51844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No53c848.11$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.55450%27 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No25c797.24$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.211,42145.7%649 W · 772 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2838…e27fbacked No53c775$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.