Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef7ecb624c3f19002cd9a5c5960871906b2cceefd1e95d7516d091d45e0ab2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d6b…fa11backed No | 0c | 27,003$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 1c | 15,884$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 2c | 4,175$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 9c | 1,236$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 8c | 977.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 28c | 913.71$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.62 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 71c | 736.51$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.54 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 40c | 735.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 29c | 610.2$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x105c…1011backed No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 66c | 482.56$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.83 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 8c | 454.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 74c | 425.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 27c | 411$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 406.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 29c | 329.89$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.83 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Yes | 21c | 299.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 35c | 293.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.54 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 262.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 66c | 258.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…4a06backed No | 8c | 250.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 57c | 242.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.13 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 44c | 240.7$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 238.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…fb87backed No | 72c | 234.81$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 42c | 230.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.53 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 45c | 227.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.83 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 23c | 216.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 11c | 212.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…7b7cbacked Yes | 44c | 212.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 32c | 197.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 50c | 196.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.87 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 70c | 193.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 60c | 183.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 6c | 178.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 133 | 15%20 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 33c | 168.55$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 44c | 167.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 162.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.02 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…2288backed No | 69c | 162.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 32c | 160.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.97 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked No | 67c | 160.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.87 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 15c | 159.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 72c | 146.28$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.95 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 15c | 144.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4652…6863backed Yes | 33c | 141.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…acf0backed No | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 42c | 136.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 52c | 133.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…a2f3backed Yes | 35c | 132.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…835dbacked Yes | 65c | 127.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked Yes | 59c | 121.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…5a62backed Yes | 79c | 120.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked No | 15c | 118.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…1843backed No | 78c | 118.32$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.89 | 143 | 72%103 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 32c | 109.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.3 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 105.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked No | 11c | 105$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 25c | 104.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…9e26backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed No | 13c | 98.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbf…0702backed Yes | 32c | 94.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e18…064cbacked Yes | 30c | 92.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 69c | 89.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…3bedbacked Yes | 14c | 89.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 40c | 87.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…0d6abacked Yes | 37c | 82.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 40c | 81.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 29c | 76.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 336 | 20.2%68 W · 268 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 45c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…e96abacked No | 68c | 68.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 61c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 27c | 67.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked Yes | 28c | 65.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 28c | 62.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 64c | 60.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 33c | 57.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aeb…df1ebacked Yes | 34c | 55.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 47c | 54.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 69c | 54.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 56c | 53.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…c512backed No | 54c | 53.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 27c | 53.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…e15abacked Yes | 24c | 51.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 31c | 50.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…666abacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c4…9c93backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…0568backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.