Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5069e40a900e8e2008986907fb12fec1c0fa2eb2ca34cd3cb3a1d08536a4c37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 5,144$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 42c | 1,155$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.68 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 748.66$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.51 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 23c | 632.12$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.11 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 10c | 563.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 13c | 434.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 406.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 32c | 405.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…700dbacked No | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 13c | 320.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…d4bcbacked Yes | 9c | 308.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 130 | 10.8%14 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 28c | 308.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Yes | 14c | 301.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Yes | 25c | 271.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 10c | 249.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 8c | 244.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed No | 75c | 243.77$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 10c | 220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 218.36$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 35c | 215.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.41 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 17c | 192.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd721…57a7backed Yes | 20c | 170.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 451 | 27.1%122 W · 329 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…e15abacked Yes | 20c | 168.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 70c | 163.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 13c | 159.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 158.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…1274backed Yes | 18c | 156.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d7…846cbacked Yes | 17c | 149.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 18c | 148.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed Yes | 13c | 140.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 13c | 140.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked Yes | 32c | 138.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 33c | 137.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.02 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…5b44backed Yes | 21c | 130.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1881…d72cbacked Yes | 11c | 123.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4674…03cabacked No | 77c | 107.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +5.7wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 56c | 101.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Yes | 19c | 99.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 163 | 20.2%33 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…48c1backed Yes | 17c | 97.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 197 | 20.8%41 W · 156 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 20c | 95.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…24aabacked Yes | 11c | 93.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…db02backed No | 80c | 92.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 66c | 91.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 15c | 90.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 71c | 89.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd53…25e7backed Yes | 19c | 85.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 25c | 78.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 21c | 75.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 71.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 16c | 68.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 75c | 68.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…75f9backed No | 77c | 54.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 262 | 53.4%140 W · 122 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 22c | 50.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed No | 79c | 50.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 40c | 49.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 78c | 41.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 77c | 38.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…3b1abacked No | 76c | 38.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 46c | 38.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 37.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 79c | 37.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked No | 79c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 118 | 74.6%88 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…695fbacked No | 79c | 35.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 72c | 33.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e04…d367backed No | 79c | 32.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 78c | 31.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 75c | 31.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 68c | 30.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 44c | 30.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…5a62backed Yes | 34c | 29.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 78c | 27.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…6604backed No | 50c | 27.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 75c | 20.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…fca3backed No | 75c | 20.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…5997backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked No | 63c | 18.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.