Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30770f3abc388d54d370c618845de88a47bf2020a16bfce39150a3684368623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 5c | 3,068$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 15c | 841.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea9…7927backed Yes | 30c | 812.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Yes | 3c | 799.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed Yes | 8c | 624.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked Yes | 25c | 563.75$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 7c | 506.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…d68ebacked No | 71c | 433.86$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 357.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 24c | 350.22$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 4c | 349.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 19c | 331.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 9c | 289.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 278.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 39c | 273.94$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.79 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 8c | 272.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 77c | 269.49$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…50febacked Yes | 41c | 262.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 11c | 207.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 205.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 193.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 184.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 169.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 27c | 159.54$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 28c | 159.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 10c | 143.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 77c | 139.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd84…109dbacked Yes | 26c | 128.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 220 | 28.2%62 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…4a25backed No | 74c | 119.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 410 | 70.5%289 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…214bbacked Yes | 31c | 119.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 117.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 117.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 22c | 115.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 19c | 112.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…439fbacked Yes | 22c | 104.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 594 | 40.6%241 W · 353 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 70c | 103.98$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 21c | 103.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 23c | 102.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df9…2bddbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 23.6%45 W · 146 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…f41abacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…ad97backed No | 73c | 99.14$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe731…55b9backed Yes | 29c | 96.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 67c | 95.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…7202backed Yes | 30c | 94.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…3bedbacked Yes | 23c | 94.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…9a07backed No | 70c | 90.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 30c | 87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…7456backed Yes | 18c | 86.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ada…4908backed Yes | 23c | 79.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…cb82backed Yes | 44c | 78.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 24c | 77.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 29c | 76.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 28c | 75.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 18c | 72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…bf48backed Yes | 29c | 67.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 20c | 67.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…b920backed Yes | 22c | 62.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 180 | 35%63 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 78c | 61.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40e…f3cfbacked No | 67c | 54.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 72c | 53.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 63c | 50.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…36bcbacked Yes | 35c | 50.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 35c | 50.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 29c | 50.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfc…98e0backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…0568backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47af…3999backed No | 58c | 49.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 37c | 49.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 77c | 48.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…e96abacked No | 61c | 46.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 31c | 46.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed Yes | 39c | 45.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 71c | 43.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe358…0822backed No | 68c | 42.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb6…2ff6backed No | 62c | 38.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 28c | 38.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…45febacked No | 73c | 37.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 78c | 37.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 39c | 35.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…f641backed No | 70c | 34.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3addbacked Yes | 39c | 33.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…a2f8backed No | 76c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 118 | 72.9%86 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 57c | 31.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…1929backed Yes | 36c | 30.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…0e3fbacked Yes | 41c | 27.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 65c | 25.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 58c | 25.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 74c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x318b…d827backed No | 60c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…4218backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…ff74backed No | 67c | 22.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 76c | 20.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.