TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf9e7…666a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$105.89
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
All 9 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Andrea Guerrieri vs Arthur Ferybacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$61.98
Rome: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Nerman Faticbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.57
Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$540
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$430
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$36.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.