Us Politics · resolved market
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02538b27892b2c6329c3e3af3b6b555fa429d8ddec0cdb5410b8b7150bf098ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,940
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5334…d7b1backed Yes | 1c | 15,200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 3c | 8,999$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.88 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked No | 58c | 4,701$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…616cbacked Yes | 39c | 3,746$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.94 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…c131backed Yes | 8c | 2,970$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 0c | 2,203$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 33c | 1,503$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.34 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 18c | 1,500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,386$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 1,314$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.76 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 898.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 4c | 800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…4c4cbacked Yes | 2c | 719.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…c15bbacked Yes | 11c | 669.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 10c | 645.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 620.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 73 | 6.8%5 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 6c | 559.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Yes | 42c | 524.58$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…062cbacked Yes | 45c | 473.07$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 405.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc914…c458backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…62f8backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 20c | 398.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 19c | 394$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.77 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…690dbacked Yes | 20c | 350$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…ba18backed Yes | 37c | 347.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 54c | 342.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 31c | 332.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…bb90backed No | 62c | 307.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe915…3492backed Yes | 48c | 300$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…2d86backed Yes | 25c | 273.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 79c | 232.13$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 18c | 230.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 71c | 228.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed No | 64c | 211.29$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 40c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981a…e585backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…2183backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Yes | 46c | 172.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked No | 51c | 168.83$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 27c | 168.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 33c | 149.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…491bbacked No | 55c | 141.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 30c | 131.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…523fbacked No | 79c | 130$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…a266backed No | 80c | 112.65$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…7000backed Yes | 39c | 111.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 17c | 109.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…10d7backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e7…666abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…d1ecbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…a03cbacked Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 42c | 98.66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed No | 66c | 84.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…0550backed Yes | 33c | 74.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…bda1backed No | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…fad8backed Yes | 22c | 69.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 67.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Yes | 39c | 64.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1746…515fbacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Yes | 35c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6f…d78bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d19…f498backed Yes | 27c | 49.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…d1d5backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +182%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed Yes | 22c | 46.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked Yes | 33c | 46.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…b9f2backed No | 66c | 45.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 76c | 43.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 25c | 42.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…9733backed Yes | 45c | 41.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed Yes | 33c | 39.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 62c | 30.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…dfadbacked No | 79c | 25.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…18dfbacked No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc174…b1aabacked No | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed No | 80c | 15.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?this page
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.