Us Politics · resolved market
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c686bd41a46606c4ec3281a8f29b629f284e4ae15d6ea9460286dd0c23b0622
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $431,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $428,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $431,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a71…9353backed Yes | 7c | 4,398$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c3…6271backed Yes | 7c | 3,222$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39bd…bdb9backed Yes | 7c | 2,980$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1722…36ffbacked Yes | 7c | 2,910$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f4…7b1abacked Yes | 7c | 2,725$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 2,600$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…f036backed Yes | 7c | 2,591$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…bd94backed Yes | 7c | 2,547$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a38…3f74backed Yes | 7c | 2,506$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…5c17backed Yes | 7c | 2,485$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,447$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.35 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…b14cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,373$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…42d1backed Yes | 7c | 2,347$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0086…67acbacked Yes | 7c | 2,343$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…683abacked Yes | 7c | 2,269$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…762dbacked Yes | 7c | 2,268$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7632…7e50backed Yes | 7c | 2,241$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…db08backed Yes | 7c | 2,153$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…29ecbacked Yes | 7c | 2,139$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…3f89backed Yes | 7c | 2,116$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…7d08backed Yes | 7c | 2,115$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3e8fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,105$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fa…37f2backed Yes | 7c | 2,105$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…fa42backed Yes | 7c | 2,066$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b6…970abacked Yes | 7c | 2,040$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…2f38backed Yes | 7c | 2,016$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…a9c1backed Yes | 7c | 1,944$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd65…69e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,940$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6222…b18ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,896$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…4c2ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,788$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…b74abacked Yes | 7c | 1,786$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…acc7backed Yes | 7c | 1,771$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…763dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,756$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896f…ea43backed Yes | 7c | 1,748$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0c…1948backed Yes | 6c | 1,736$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf29…45fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,693$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…54a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,661$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…abfebacked Yes | 7c | 1,621$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf3…c3d9backed Yes | 8c | 1,551$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…57a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,551$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ba…e0a2backed Yes | 7c | 1,524$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1335…4768backed Yes | 7c | 1,521$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…d46abacked Yes | 7c | 1,517$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf7…13eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,493$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…98b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,468$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…c28dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,456$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…8b5fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,444$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f41…9b95backed Yes | 7c | 1,430$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…3f21backed Yes | 7c | 1,409$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b0…d3fabacked Yes | 7c | 1,402$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…9096backed Yes | 7c | 1,377$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…b366backed Yes | 7c | 1,356$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6632…c0d6backed Yes | 7c | 1,324$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672c…f9e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,323$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…246cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,310$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f68…f6e4backed Yes | 7c | 1,286$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…12c7backed Yes | 7c | 1,274$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…6cf2backed Yes | 7c | 1,264$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…ea3bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,232$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…311ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,214$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…032fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,197$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba10…0f67backed Yes | 7c | 1,156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,137$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2c…1bb3backed Yes | 7c | 1,128$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…5380backed Yes | 7c | 1,126$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…d34dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,124$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…0146backed Yes | 7c | 1,119$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd6…7089backed Yes | 7c | 1,109$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6655…4e8abacked Yes | 7c | 1,025$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,019$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…de47backed Yes | 7c | 1,016$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75e…83ffbacked Yes | 7c | 996$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…6df6backed Yes | 7c | 931$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…1032backed Yes | 7c | 900$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…5f03backed Yes | 7c | 871$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…ed16backed Yes | 7c | 852$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcda…c464backed Yes | 6c | 844$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e55…6296backed Yes | 7c | 839$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…59dbbacked Yes | 7c | 836$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…73f0backed Yes | 7c | 834$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5413…f661backed Yes | 7c | 828$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…28ffbacked Yes | 7c | 826$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2e…4b71backed Yes | 7c | 825$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf94…b59ebacked Yes | 7c | 819$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…6faabacked Yes | 7c | 814$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…cd26backed Yes | 7c | 811$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…db6cbacked Yes | 7c | 806$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…7bbabacked Yes | 7c | 791$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…3fc2backed Yes | 7c | 783$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f59…1456backed Yes | 7c | 780$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64b…a88cbacked Yes | 7c | 776$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b15…26efbacked Yes | 6c | 776$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…f0fbbacked Yes | 7c | 767$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…12d9backed Yes | 7c | 764$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed Yes | 6c | 747.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…469abacked Yes | 7c | 742$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755e…5116backed Yes | 6c | 742$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7477…812dbacked Yes | 7c | 741$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b82…83acbacked Yes | 7c | 739$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…8f41backed Yes | 6c | 739$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?this page
- Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end before April 1, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 1-4, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 13-16, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 25-28, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 5-8, 2026?No won
- Will the DHS shutdown end between April 9-12, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.