TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$310,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$306,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under49c39,650$19,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,221.574348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe248…f293backed Over51c22,765$11,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,595.2978155.6%434 W · 347 L+38.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under51c10,904$5,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,342.8641752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Over52c9,991$5,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,195.322231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over50c8,429$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.472646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c8,247$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,288.191,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c6,614$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.254360.5%26 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under50c6,521$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.623847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Over51c6,306$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+71.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Over51c5,900$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,009812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-82.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c5,800$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,826.883,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Under49c5,632$2,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.14656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c5,468$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.021,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Under51c4,973$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.712040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under49c4,947$2,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.915060%30 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over49c4,826$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.9484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Under49c4,227$2,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.65437%20 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Over52c4,013$2,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.55056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa8…1f7bbacked Over51c3,965$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.71729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Over52c3,459$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.761040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Over52c3,422$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.531250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under51c3,363$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.2116341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Over51c3,314$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.91040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…4530backed Under50c3,307$1,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x561e…2093backed Over51c3,260$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.533333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa63…261fbacked Over50c3,225$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa9…4baabacked Over51c3,211$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c3,165$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.7618048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4580…94f8backed Under50c3,109$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.46425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c2,830$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.761,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c2,818$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.625145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Under50c2,539$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.022128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa0c…9dbabacked Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Over50c2,391$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.358254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under56c2,299$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.332,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under50c2,220$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Over51c1,984$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.636336.5%23 W · 40 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under48c1,983$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.9122349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over51c1,983$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.084257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c1,955$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.211,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over51c1,928$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.194,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over52c1,915$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.613740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over53c1,870$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2834746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaa2…c75fbacked Over52c1,846$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over52c1,759$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.9615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over49c1,719$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.1174152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe182…b624backed Under50c1,602$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8015552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c1,568$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.111,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c1,514$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.862,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Under48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7801838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…9eb1backed Under51c1,340$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under48c1,292$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.845942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c1,255$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x705d…3438backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.995154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc58…7894backed Under50c1,199$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over49c1,195$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7763551.5%327 W · 308 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5614…83d0backed Under50c1,194$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5973100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,188$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.5260548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over51c1,090$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.0910846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Over49c1,071$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.427231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf796…3ac5backed Over52c1,048$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.012,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd8…1de3backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe28e…ac9fbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…51e4backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8788…8aa8backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca2…9488backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7381…e0efbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52011046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51014150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d12…1167backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5203548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…4acdbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over51c991.25$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.5428539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Under50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6312646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over52c989.86$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.736940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under48c950.38$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.23441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47da…ce18backed Under50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+88.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over49c886$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.144438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under48c826.05$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Under49c792.41$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.434744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over50c686.9$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.455149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ae…e370backed Under50c686.47$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.241838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Over50c684.86$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4313343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under48c656.25$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under48c590.45$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over46c536.69$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.881,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c455.66$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.51,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Over49c453.03$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0310749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Under44c450.63$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.353372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over45c436.12$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.254944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.