Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe1e55b0a6ff09f3ab7e3ad5dab679afbcf6df66d7b5cd37f6ebb552dca19274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michigan Wolverinesof Michigan Wolverines, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $604,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $601,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $604,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 123,350$61,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,675.24 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 56c | 102,051$57,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,041.14 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 64,680$33,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,792.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 40,248$20,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,926.62 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 37,983$18,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,991.41 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 36,420$18,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,938.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 30,619$14,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,011.5 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 24,460$12,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,718.96 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 22,267$11,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,133.54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 22,063$11,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,051.53 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 21,718$10,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,501.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 20,688$9,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.55 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 19,166$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,799.19 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 18,827$9,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,455.82 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 16,408$8,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,204.06 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 13,192$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.34 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 10,766$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,490.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c6…47debacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 10,481$5,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.47 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…f082backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 10,210$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,206.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Michigan Wolverines | 47c | 9,827$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,194.36 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 9,000$4,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,589.98 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 8,921$4,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 8,536$4,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.79 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 8,175$3,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.19 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1f…6156backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 6,610$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michigan Wolverines | 30c | 6,169$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.12 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 5,655$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.35 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 5,637$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.18 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 5,294$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d29…414dbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 4,956$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197a…d3d1backed Michigan Wolverines | 51c | 4,954$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,427.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 4,362$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.37 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…0501backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.99 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Michigan Wolverines | 50c | 3,965$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.49 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,277$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.11 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,267$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.88 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 29c | 2,961$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,949$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.28 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…6ab5backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,730$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…0f34backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,655$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,639$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Michigan Wolverines | 25c | 2,616$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.11 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…4007backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,600$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…a3b1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,502$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 2,478$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.06 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…9ed6backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,441$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…e7a7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,401$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…9a07backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 2,339$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcf…3a4dbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,320$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 2,087$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.24 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b2…814cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,079$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.97 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…de97backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d12…1167backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Michigan Wolverines | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a15…4cdcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,987$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…3eabbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…f9d9backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,956$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,956$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 1,944$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.25 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…5af8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,942$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb628…be65backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,745$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c9…3aedbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,699$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 1,683$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf372…f4c2backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,671$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 1,666$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.54 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…c43ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,651$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a0…705bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,617$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…94bcbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,610$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff3a…e11ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,584$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,516$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.43 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…7bd0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,488$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…e998backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,428$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…cf07backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 1,391$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Michigan Wolverines | 45c | 1,342$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.35 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,321$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.95 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Michigan Wolverines | 49c | 1,159$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…2efbbacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 52c | 1,078$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 1,007$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.53 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Michigan Wolverines | 28c | 1,005$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.47 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6440…85e2backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…4752backed Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…9c5ebacked Michigan Wolverines | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan WolverinesMichigan Wolverines won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 172.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 173.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 174.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 181.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 184.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 187.5Under won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-5.5)Michigan Wolverines won
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)Michigan Wolverines won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.